Florida State logo

Florida State #58

Team Page

18-15
Overall
10-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic Coast logo

Team Schedule

Florida State logo

Away

6-5
Florida logo
#4
Miami logo
#28
Clemson logo
#32
North Carolina logo
#35
SMU logo
#43
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Dayton logo
#73
Syracuse logo
#83
Notre Dame logo
#93
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Georgia Tech logo
#158

Neutral

1-4
Duke logo
#1
Houston logo
#5
Texas A&M logo
#41
California logo
#74
Massachusetts logo
#188

Home

11-6
Duke logo
#1
Virginia logo
#14
Miami logo
#28
Georgia logo
#31
North Carolina State logo
#36
SMU logo
#43
Stanford logo
#62
Wake Forest logo
#67
California logo
#74
Boston College logo
#143
Georgia Southern logo
#228
UT Martin logo
#235
Jacksonville logo
#289
Alabama State logo
#317
Bakersfield logo
#332
Alcorn State logo
#346
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365

Schedule Chart

Florida State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Alcorn State logo
#34699%99%108-76
Nov 7Home
Alabama State logo
#31798%99%101-64
Nov 11Away
Florida logo
#47%9%76-78
Nov 18Home
UT Martin logo
#23596%97%87-73
Nov 21Home
Georgia Southern logo
#22895%96%98-72
Nov 25Home
Bakersfield logo
#33299%99%89-59
Nov 28Neutral
Texas A&M logo
#4136%43%59-95
Dec 2Home
Georgia logo
#3144%51%73-107
Dec 6Neutral
Houston logo
#510%14%67-82
Dec 13Neutral
Massachusetts logo
#18889%91%95-103
Dec 16Away
Dayton logo
#7345%52%69-97
Dec 19Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365100%100%96-49
Dec 22Home
Jacksonville logo
#28998%98%87-63
Dec 30Away
North Carolina logo
#3525%30%66-79
Jan 3Home
Duke logo
#112%16%87-91
Jan 10Home
North Carolina State logo
#3647%54%69-113
Jan 13Away
Syracuse logo
#8348%55%86-94
Jan 17Home
Wake Forest logo
#6767%73%68-69
Jan 20Away
Miami logo
#2822%27%65-63
Jan 24Away
SMU logo
#4327%33%80-83
Jan 28Home
California logo
#7468%74%63-61
Jan 31Home
Stanford logo
#6264%71%88-80
Feb 7Away
Notre Dame logo
#9355%62%82-79
Feb 10Home
Virginia logo
#1429%35%58-61
Feb 14Away
Virginia Tech logo
#5537%43%92-69
Feb 17Home
Boston College logo
#14388%91%80-72
Feb 21Away
Clemson logo
#3224%29%70-65
Feb 24Home
Miami logo
#2843%50%73-83
Feb 28Away
Georgia Tech logo
#15876%81%80-71
Mar 4Away
Pittsburgh logo
#10058%65%75-74
Mar 7Home
SMU logo
#4349%56%91-78
Mar 11Neutral
California logo
#7457%64%95-89
Mar 12Neutral
Duke logo
#17%10%79-80

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaDukeHoustonDukeMiamiClemsonNorth CarolinaSMUVirginiaTexas A&MVirginia TechMiamiGeorgiaDaytonNorth Carolina StateSyracuseSMUNotre DameCaliforniaPittsburghStanfordWake ForestCaliforniaGeorgia TechBoston CollegeMassachusettsDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-0, 0 left
Record:
18-15
#50 Fcst:
19.7-13.3
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
60%
TWV:
-1.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Florida State logo
051015Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 12/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Alcorn State Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Bakersfield Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Alabama State Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 98%98%H4Jacksonville Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 98%98%H5UT Martin Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 96%96%H6Georgia Southern Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 95%95%H7Boston College Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 88%88%H8Georgia Tech Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 76%76%A9California Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 68%68%H10Stanford Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 64%64%H11Pittsburgh Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 58%58%A12California Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 57%57%N13Notre Dame Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 55%55%A14SMU Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 49%49%H15Virginia Tech Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 37%37%A16Clemson Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 24%24%A17Miami Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 22%22%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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