JThom Analytics Logo
North Carolina logo

North Carolina #35

Team Page

24-8
Overall
12-6
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
6.0
Avg Seed
Atlantic Coast logo

Team Schedule

North Carolina logo

Away

4-6
Duke logo
#1
Virginia logo
#14
Kentucky logo
#27
Miami logo
#28
North Carolina State logo
#36
SMU logo
#43
Stanford logo
#62
California logo
#74
Syracuse logo
#83
Georgia Tech logo
#158

Neutral

2-2
Michigan State logo
#11
Ohio State logo
#23
Clemson logo
#32
St. Bonaventure logo
#142

Home

18-0
Duke logo
#1
Louisville logo
#19
Kansas logo
#20
Clemson logo
#32
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Florida State logo
#58
Wake Forest logo
#67
Syracuse logo
#83
Georgetown logo
#85
Notre Dame logo
#93
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Navy logo
#141
Central Arkansas logo
#156
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Radford logo
#242
East Carolina logo
#256
USC Upstate logo
#305
North Carolina Central logo
#348

Schedule Chart

North Carolina logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15694%92%94-54
Nov 7Home
Kansas logo
#2049%40%87-74
Nov 11Home
Radford logo
#24298%97%89-74
Nov 14Home
North Carolina Central logo
#348100%99%97-53
Nov 18Home
Navy logo
#14193%91%73-61
Nov 25Neutral
St. Bonaventure logo
#14290%86%85-70
Nov 27Neutral
Michigan State logo
#1128%21%58-74
Dec 2Away
Kentucky logo
#2732%25%67-64
Dec 7Home
Georgetown logo
#8583%78%81-61
Dec 13Home
USC Upstate logo
#30599%98%80-62
Dec 16Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16795%93%77-58
Dec 20Neutral
Ohio State logo
#2340%32%71-70
Dec 22Home
East Carolina logo
#25698%97%99-51
Dec 30Home
Florida State logo
#5875%68%79-66
Jan 3Away
SMU logo
#4340%33%83-97
Jan 10Home
Wake Forest logo
#6779%73%87-84
Jan 14Away
Stanford logo
#6256%47%90-95
Jan 17Away
California logo
#7460%52%78-84
Jan 21Home
Notre Dame logo
#9386%81%91-69
Jan 24Away
Virginia logo
#1422%17%85-80
Jan 31Away
Georgia Tech logo
#15886%81%91-75
Feb 2Home
Syracuse logo
#8382%77%87-77
Feb 7Home
Duke logo
#121%16%71-68
Feb 10Away
Miami logo
#2835%27%66-75
Feb 14Home
Pittsburgh logo
#10087%83%79-65
Feb 17Away
North Carolina State logo
#3639%31%58-82
Feb 21Away
Syracuse logo
#8364%55%77-64
Feb 23Home
Louisville logo
#1947%38%77-74
Feb 28Home
Virginia Tech logo
#5574%67%89-82
Mar 3Home
Clemson logo
#3261%52%67-63
Mar 7Away
Duke logo
#19%7%61-76
Mar 12Neutral
Clemson logo
#3248%40%79-80

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeDukeVirginiaMichigan StateKentuckyMiamiNorth Carolina StateOhio StateSMULouisvilleClemsonKansasStanfordCaliforniaClemsonSyracuseVirginia TechFlorida StateWake ForestSyracuseGeorgetownNotre DameGeorgia TechPittsburghSt. BonaventureNavyCentral ArkansasEast Tennessee StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 0 left
Record:
24-8
#50 Fcst:
18.9-13.1
Act Win %:
75%
#50 Fcst %:
59%
TWV:
+5.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Carolina logo
05101520North Carolina Central Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H1USC Upstate Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 99%99%H2East Carolina Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 98%98%H3Radford Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 98%98%H4East Tennessee State Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 95%95%H5Central Arkansas Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 94%94%H6Navy Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 93%93%H7St. Bonaventure Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 90%90%N8Pittsburgh Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 87%87%H9Georgia Tech Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 86%86%A10Notre Dame Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 86%86%H11Georgetown Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 83%83%H12Syracuse Location: Home 02/02 Win Probability: 82%82%H13Wake Forest Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 79%79%H14Florida State Location: Home 12/30 Win Probability: 75%75%H15Virginia Tech Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 74%74%H16Syracuse Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 64%64%A17Clemson Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 61%61%H18Kansas Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 49%49%H19Louisville Location: Home 02/23 Win Probability: 47%47%H20Ohio State Location: Neutral 12/20 Win Probability: 40%40%N21Kentucky Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 32%32%A22Virginia Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 22%22%A23Duke Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 21%21%H2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
6In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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