JThom Analytics Logo
Louisville logo

Louisville #19

Team Page

23-10
Overall
11-7
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
6.0
Avg Seed
Atlantic Coast logo

Team Schedule

Louisville logo

Away

4-7
Duke logo
#1
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Miami logo
#28
Clemson logo
#32
North Carolina logo
#35
SMU logo
#43
Stanford logo
#62
Wake Forest logo
#67
California logo
#74
Pittsburgh logo
#100

Neutral

4-1
Miami logo
#28
Cincinnati logo
#33
SMU logo
#43
Indiana logo
#44
Baylor logo
#47

Home

15-2
Duke logo
#1
Virginia logo
#14
Kentucky logo
#27
North Carolina State logo
#36
SMU logo
#43
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Syracuse logo
#83
Notre Dame logo
#93
Memphis logo
#131
Boston College logo
#143
Georgia Tech logo
#158
Montana logo
#185
Ohio logo
#223
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
NJIT logo
#328
Jackson State logo
#337
South Carolina State logo
#353

Schedule Chart

Louisville logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
South Carolina State logo
#353100%99%104-45
Nov 6Home
Jackson State logo
#337100%99%106-70
Nov 11Home
Kentucky logo
#2770%47%96-88
Nov 15Home
Ohio logo
#22398%96%106-81
Nov 21Neutral
Cincinnati logo
#3365%40%74-64
Nov 24Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25599%97%87-46
Nov 26Home
NJIT logo
#328100%99%104-47
Dec 3Away
Arkansas logo
#1637%18%80-89
Dec 6Neutral
Indiana logo
#4469%45%87-78
Dec 13Home
Memphis logo
#13196%89%99-73
Dec 16Away
Tennessee logo
#1536%18%62-83
Dec 20Home
Montana logo
#18598%94%94-54
Dec 30Away
California logo
#7474%52%90-70
Jan 2Away
Stanford logo
#6270%47%76-80
Jan 6Home
Duke logo
#133%16%73-84
Jan 10Home
Boston College logo
#14396%91%75-62
Jan 13Home
Virginia logo
#1458%35%70-79
Jan 17Away
Pittsburgh logo
#10083%65%100-59
Jan 24Home
Virginia Tech logo
#5584%67%85-71
Jan 26Away
Duke logo
#116%7%52-83
Jan 31Home
SMU logo
#4377%56%88-74
Feb 4Home
Notre Dame logo
#9392%81%76-65
Feb 7Away
Wake Forest logo
#6772%50%88-80
Feb 9Home
North Carolina State logo
#3676%54%118-77
Feb 14Neutral
Baylor logo
#4772%49%82-71
Feb 17Away
SMU logo
#4356%33%85-95
Feb 21Home
Georgia Tech logo
#15897%92%87-70
Feb 23Away
North Carolina logo
#3553%30%74-77
Feb 28Away
Clemson logo
#3252%29%75-80
Mar 3Home
Syracuse logo
#8390%77%77-62
Mar 7Away
Miami logo
#2850%27%92-89
Mar 11Neutral
SMU logo
#4368%44%62-58
Mar 12Neutral
Miami logo
#2862%38%73-78

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeDukeTennesseeArkansasMiamiClemsonNorth CarolinaSMUVirginiaMiamiCincinnatiSMUIndianaKentuckyStanfordBaylorWake ForestCaliforniaNorth Carolina StateSMUPittsburghVirginia TechSyracuseNotre DameMemphisBoston CollegeGeorgia TechMontanaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-0, 0 left
Record:
23-10
#50 Fcst:
18.8-14.2
Act Win %:
70%
#50 Fcst %:
57%
TWV:
+4.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Louisville logo
05101520South Carolina State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Jackson State Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H2NJIT Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 100%100%H3Eastern Michigan Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Ohio Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 98%98%H5Montana Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 98%98%H6Georgia Tech Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Boston College Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 96%96%H8Memphis Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 96%96%H9Notre Dame Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H10Syracuse Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 90%90%H11Virginia Tech Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 84%84%H12Pittsburgh Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 83%83%A13SMU Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 77%77%H14North Carolina State Location: Home 02/09 Win Probability: 76%76%H15California Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 74%74%A16Wake Forest Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 72%72%A17Baylor Location: Neutral 02/14 Win Probability: 72%72%N18Kentucky Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 70%70%H19Indiana Location: Neutral 12/06 Win Probability: 69%69%N20SMU Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 68%68%N21Cincinnati Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 65%65%N22Miami Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 50%50%A2323WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
6In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
23100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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