Ball State logo

Ball State #279

Team Page

10-21
Overall
7-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mid-American logo

Team Schedule

Ball State logo

Away

4-11
Wisconsin logo
#21
Akron logo
#63
Toledo logo
#132
Bowling Green logo
#154
Massachusetts logo
#188
Campbell logo
#193
Indiana State logo
#206
Buffalo logo
#217
Ohio logo
#223
Central Michigan logo
#262
Western Michigan logo
#280
Evansville logo
#313
Lafayette logo
#322
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356

Neutral

1-1
Monmouth logo
#172
Le Moyne logo
#300

Home

5-7
Akron logo
#63
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Kent State logo
#152
Massachusetts logo
#188
South Dakota State logo
#215
Buffalo logo
#217
Ohio logo
#223
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Central Michigan logo
#262
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
Little Rock logo
#309
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Earlham logo
Non D1
Mansfield logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Ball State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30168%98%75-64
Nov 7Home
Mansfield logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Away
Wisconsin logo
#211%21%55-86
Nov 15Home
Little Rock logo
#30969%98%62-68
Nov 22Away
Indiana State logo
#20620%88%52-70
Nov 28Neutral
Monmouth logo
#17222%90%73-80
Nov 29Away
Lafayette logo
#32253%97%37-55
Nov 30Neutral
Le Moyne logo
#30057%98%96-85
Dec 3Away
Evansville logo
#31348%96%52-64
Dec 9Home
South Dakota State logo
#21543%96%64-68
Dec 14Away
Campbell logo
#19318%86%64-69
Dec 20Home
Miami (OH) logo
#9012%80%77-86
Dec 29Home
Earlham logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 3Away
Buffalo logo
#21723%89%72-85
Jan 6Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25554%97%52-74
Jan 10Away
Massachusetts logo
#18818%86%71-79
Jan 13Away
Akron logo
#633%48%77-87
Jan 16Home
Ohio logo
#22346%96%76-71
Jan 20Away
Central Michigan logo
#26233%93%68-67
Jan 24Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34383%99%58-53
Jan 31Away
Toledo logo
#13210%76%55-73
Feb 3Away
Bowling Green logo
#15413%80%52-77
Feb 7Away
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35672%99%73-68
Feb 11Home
Buffalo logo
#21744%96%53-63
Feb 14Home
Kent State logo
#15228%91%68-75
Feb 17Away
Ohio logo
#22324%90%57-69
Feb 20Home
Akron logo
#638%71%65-78
Feb 24Home
Massachusetts logo
#18836%94%74-73
Feb 28Away
Northern Illinois logo
#34364%98%79-43
Mar 3Away
Western Michigan logo
#28038%95%74-71
Mar 6Home
Central Michigan logo
#26257%97%85-69

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%WisconsinAkronAkronToledoMiami (OH)Bowling GreenMassachusettsCampbellIndiana StateBuffaloMonmouthOhioKent StateCentral MichiganMassachusettsWestern MichiganDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-6, 2 left
Record:
10-19
#50 Fcst:
25.4-3.6
Act Win %:
34%
#50 Fcst %:
88%
TWV:
-15.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Ball State logo
0510Mansfield Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Earlham Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Northern Illinois Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 83%83%H1Louisiana-Monroe Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 72%72%A2Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 68%68%H3Northern Illinois Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 64%64%A4Central Michigan Location: Home 03/06 Win Probability: 57%57%H5Le Moyne Location: Neutral 11/30 Win Probability: 57%57%N6Ohio Location: Home 01/16 Win Probability: 46%46%H7Western Michigan Location: Away 03/03 Win Probability: 38%38%A8Massachusetts Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 36%36%H9Central Michigan Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 33%33%A1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
10100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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