JThom Analytics Logo
Florida logo

Florida #4

Team Page

26-7
Overall
16-2
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
2.0
Avg Seed
Southeastern logo

Team Schedule

Florida logo

Away

8-2
Duke logo
#1
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Kentucky logo
#27
Georgia logo
#31
Oklahoma logo
#37
Texas A&M logo
#41
Texas logo
#42
Missouri logo
#50
Ole Miss logo
#61
South Carolina logo
#98

Neutral

4-4
Arizona logo
#3
Connecticut logo
#9
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Kentucky logo
#27
Miami logo
#28
TCU logo
#45
Providence logo
#70
George Washington logo
#81

Home

14-1
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Alabama logo
#17
Kentucky logo
#27
Georgia logo
#31
Auburn logo
#39
Florida State logo
#58
LSU logo
#68
Mississippi State logo
#94
South Carolina logo
#98
Merrimack College logo
#171
Colgate logo
#240
Dartmouth logo
#272
North Florida logo
#334
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Schedule Chart

Florida logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
Arizona logo
#345%11%87-93
Nov 6Home
North Florida logo
#334100%99%104-64
Nov 11Home
Florida State logo
#5893%68%78-76
Nov 16Neutral
Miami logo
#2880%38%82-68
Nov 21Home
Merrimack College logo
#17199%93%80-45
Nov 27Neutral
TCU logo
#4585%47%80-84
Nov 28Neutral
Providence logo
#7092%63%90-78
Dec 2Away
Duke logo
#130%7%66-67
Dec 9Neutral
Connecticut logo
#962%20%73-77
Dec 13Neutral
George Washington logo
#8193%66%80-70
Dec 17Home
Saint Francis U logo
#354100%99%102-61
Dec 21Home
Colgate logo
#24099%97%90-60
Dec 29Home
Dartmouth logo
#272100%98%94-72
Jan 3Away
Missouri logo
#5079%38%74-76
Jan 6Home
Georgia logo
#3186%51%92-77
Jan 10Home
Tennessee logo
#1578%37%91-67
Jan 13Away
Oklahoma logo
#3773%31%96-79
Jan 17Away
Vanderbilt logo
#1253%15%98-94
Jan 20Home
LSU logo
#6894%73%79-61
Jan 24Home
Auburn logo
#3988%55%67-76
Jan 28Away
South Carolina logo
#9892%64%95-48
Feb 1Home
Alabama logo
#1779%38%100-77
Feb 7Away
Texas A&M logo
#4174%32%86-67
Feb 11Away
Georgia logo
#3171%28%86-66
Feb 14Home
Kentucky logo
#2785%47%92-83
Feb 17Home
South Carolina logo
#9897%83%76-62
Feb 21Away
Ole Miss logo
#6184%47%94-75
Feb 25Away
Texas logo
#4274%32%84-71
Feb 28Home
Arkansas logo
#1678%37%111-77
Mar 3Home
Mississippi State logo
#9496%82%108-74
Mar 7Away
Kentucky logo
#2767%25%84-77
Mar 13Neutral
Kentucky logo
#2778%35%71-63
Mar 14Neutral
Vanderbilt logo
#1265%22%74-91

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeArizonaVanderbiltConnecticutVanderbiltKentuckyGeorgiaOklahomaTexas A&MTexasKentuckyTennesseeArkansasMiamiMissouriAlabamaTCUOle MissKentuckyGeorgiaAuburnProvidenceSouth CarolinaGeorge WashingtonFlorida StateLSUMississippi StateSouth CarolinaMerrimack CollegeDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 0 left
Record:
26-7
#50 Fcst:
16.8-16.2
Act Win %:
79%
#50 Fcst %:
51%
TWV:
+9.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 29 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Florida logo
0510152025Saint Francis U Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H1North Florida Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Dartmouth Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H3Colgate Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Merrimack College Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H5South Carolina Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Mississippi State Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 96%96%H7LSU Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 94%94%H8Florida State Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 93%93%H9George Washington Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 93%93%N10Providence Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 92%92%N11South Carolina Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 92%92%A12Georgia Location: Home 01/06 Win Probability: 86%86%H13Kentucky Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 85%85%H14Ole Miss Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 84%84%A15Miami Location: Neutral 11/16 Win Probability: 80%80%N16Alabama Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 79%79%H17Arkansas Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 78%78%H18Kentucky Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 78%78%N19Tennessee Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 78%78%H20Texas Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 74%74%A21Texas A&M Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 74%74%A22Oklahoma Location: Away 01/13 Win Probability: 73%73%A23Georgia Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 71%71%A24Kentucky Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 67%67%A25Vanderbilt Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 53%53%A2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
2In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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