JThom Analytics Logo
Iowa State logo

Iowa State #7

Team Page

26-8
Overall
12-6
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
5.0
Avg Seed
Big 12 logo

Team Schedule

Iowa State logo

Away

5-5
Arizona logo
#3
Purdue logo
#8
Kansas logo
#20
BYU logo
#29
Cincinnati logo
#33
TCU logo
#45
Baylor logo
#47
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Kansas State logo
#95
Utah logo
#126

Neutral

6-1
Arizona logo
#3
St. John's logo
#13
Texas Tech logo
#22
Arizona State logo
#71
Creighton logo
#77
Syracuse logo
#83
Mississippi State logo
#94

Home

15-1
Houston logo
#5
Kansas logo
#20
Texas Tech logo
#22
Iowa logo
#25
Baylor logo
#47
UCF logo
#54
West Virginia logo
#59
Arizona State logo
#71
Colorado logo
#75
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Long Beach State logo
#251
Grambling State logo
#296
Houston Christian logo
#298
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Alcorn State logo
#346

Schedule Chart

Iowa State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336100%99%88-50
Nov 6Home
Grambling State logo
#296100%98%102-62
Nov 10Neutral
Mississippi State logo
#9494%74%96-80
Nov 17Home
Stonehill logo
#333100%99%
Nov 17Home
Stonehill logo
#333100%99%
Nov 24Neutral
St. John's logo
#1362%23%83-82
Nov 25Neutral
Creighton logo
#7791%65%78-60
Nov 26Neutral
Syracuse logo
#8392%68%95-64
Dec 3Home
Alcorn State logo
#346100%99%132-68
Dec 6Away
Purdue logo
#841%12%81-58
Dec 11Home
Iowa logo
#2581%46%66-62
Dec 14Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#326100%99%78-53
Dec 21Home
Long Beach State logo
#25199%97%91-60
Dec 29Home
Houston Christian logo
#298100%98%89-61
Jan 2Home
West Virginia logo
#5992%69%80-59
Jan 7Away
Baylor logo
#4775%37%70-60
Jan 10Home
Oklahoma State logo
#7894%75%83-71
Jan 13Away
Kansas logo
#2056%20%63-84
Jan 17Away
Cincinnati logo
#3368%30%70-79
Jan 20Home
UCF logo
#5491%67%87-57
Jan 24Away
Oklahoma State logo
#7885%53%84-71
Jan 29Home
Colorado logo
#7594%75%97-67
Feb 1Away
Kansas State logo
#9590%63%95-61
Feb 7Home
Baylor logo
#4789%61%72-69
Feb 10Away
TCU logo
#4573%35%55-62
Feb 14Home
Kansas logo
#2077%40%74-56
Feb 16Home
Houston logo
#558%22%70-67
Feb 21Away
BYU logo
#2966%27%69-79
Feb 24Away
Utah logo
#12693%74%75-59
Feb 28Home
Texas Tech logo
#2279%43%73-82
Mar 2Away
Arizona logo
#330%8%57-73
Mar 7Home
Arizona State logo
#7193%74%86-65
Mar 11Neutral
Arizona State logo
#7190%63%91-42
Mar 12Neutral
Texas Tech logo
#2270%31%75-53
Mar 13Neutral
Arizona logo
#341%11%80-82

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArizonaArizonaPurdueKansasHoustonSt. John'sBYUCincinnatiTexas TechTCUBaylorKansasTexas TechIowaOklahoma StateBaylorKansas StateArizona StateCreightonUCFSyracuseWest VirginiaArizona StateUtahMississippi StateColoradoOklahoma StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 2 left
Record:
26-7
#50 Fcst:
18.6-14.4
Act Win %:
79%
#50 Fcst %:
56%
TWV:
+7.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 27 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Iowa State logo
0510152025Stonehill Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H27Stonehill Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H28Alcorn State Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Eastern Illinois Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H3Houston Christian Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H4Grambling State Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H5Long Beach State Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H6Mississippi State Location: Neutral 11/10 Win Probability: 94%94%N7Oklahoma State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 94%94%H8Colorado Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 94%94%H9Utah Location: Away 02/24 Win Probability: 93%93%A10Arizona State Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 93%93%H11West Virginia Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 92%92%H12Syracuse Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 92%92%N13UCF Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 91%91%H14Creighton Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 91%91%N15Arizona State Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 90%90%N16Kansas State Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 90%90%A17Baylor Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 89%89%H18Oklahoma State Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 85%85%A19Iowa Location: Home 12/11 Win Probability: 81%81%H20Kansas Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 77%77%H21Baylor Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 75%75%A22Texas Tech Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 70%70%N23St. John's Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 62%62%N24Houston Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 58%58%H25Purdue Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 41%41%A2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
5In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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