UCF logo

UCF #54

Team Page

21-11
Overall
9-9
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
9.0
Avg Seed
Big 12 logo

Team Schedule

UCF logo

Away

5-5
Houston logo
#5
Iowa State logo
#7
BYU logo
#29
Cincinnati logo
#33
Texas A&M logo
#41
West Virginia logo
#59
Colorado logo
#75
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Kansas State logo
#95
Utah logo
#126

Neutral

3-1
Arizona logo
#3
Cincinnati logo
#33
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Florida Atlantic logo
#127

Home

13-5
Arizona logo
#3
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Kansas logo
#20
Texas Tech logo
#22
Cincinnati logo
#33
TCU logo
#45
Baylor logo
#47
West Virginia logo
#59
Arizona State logo
#71
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Hofstra logo
#84
Towson logo
#159
Oakland logo
#177
Mercer logo
#190
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#239
Florida A&M logo
#307
VMI logo
#359

Schedule Chart

UCF logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Hofstra logo
#8474%78%82-78
Nov 8Home
Vanderbilt logo
#1228%33%93-105
Nov 11Home
Florida A&M logo
#30798%98%97-60
Nov 14Away
Texas A&M logo
#4127%32%86-74
Nov 17Home
Oakland logo
#17792%93%87-83
Nov 20Neutral
Pittsburgh logo
#10072%76%77-67
Nov 25Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21494%96%102-91
Nov 29Home
VMI logo
#35999%100%82-57
Dec 7Home
Towson logo
#15990%92%86-61
Dec 17Home
Mercer logo
#19093%94%81-63
Dec 20Home
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#23996%97%102-80
Dec 23Neutral
Florida Atlantic logo
#12780%83%85-80
Jan 3Home
Kansas logo
#2035%40%81-75
Jan 6Away
Oklahoma State logo
#7848%53%76-87
Jan 11Home
Cincinnati logo
#3347%53%73-72
Jan 14Away
Kansas State logo
#9558%63%82-73
Jan 17Home
Arizona logo
#315%18%77-84
Jan 20Away
Iowa State logo
#79%11%57-87
Jan 24Away
Colorado logo
#7547%53%95-86
Jan 27Home
Arizona State logo
#7169%74%79-76
Jan 31Home
Texas Tech logo
#2237%43%88-80
Feb 4Away
Houston logo
#58%9%55-79
Feb 8Away
Cincinnati logo
#3325%30%72-92
Feb 14Home
West Virginia logo
#5964%69%67-74
Feb 17Home
TCU logo
#4554%59%82-71
Feb 21Away
Utah logo
#12669%74%73-71
Feb 24Away
BYU logo
#2923%27%97-84
Feb 28Home
Baylor logo
#4756%61%86-87
Mar 3Home
Oklahoma State logo
#7871%75%104-111
Mar 6Away
West Virginia logo
#5940%46%62-77
Mar 11Neutral
Cincinnati logo
#3335%40%66-65
Mar 12Neutral
Arizona logo
#39%11%59-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%HoustonIowa StateArizonaArizonaBYUCincinnatiTexas A&MVanderbiltKansasCincinnatiTexas TechWest VirginiaColoradoCincinnatiOklahoma StateTCUBaylorKansas StateWest VirginiaArizona StateUtahOklahoma StatePittsburghHofstraFlorida AtlanticTowsonOaklandMercerDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 0 left
Record:
21-11
#50 Fcst:
18.8-13.2
Act Win %:
66%
#50 Fcst %:
59%
TWV:
+2.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UCF logo
05101520VMI Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Florida A&M Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 98%98%H2Florida Gulf Coast Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 96%96%H3Quinnipiac Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 94%94%H4Mercer Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 93%93%H5Oakland Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 92%92%H6Towson Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 90%90%H7Florida Atlantic Location: Neutral 12/23 Win Probability: 80%80%N8Hofstra Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 74%74%H9Pittsburgh Location: Neutral 11/20 Win Probability: 72%72%N10Utah Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 69%69%A11Arizona State Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 69%69%H12Kansas State Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 58%58%A13TCU Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 54%54%H14Cincinnati Location: Home 01/11 Win Probability: 47%47%H15Colorado Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 47%47%A16Texas Tech Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 37%37%H17Kansas Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 35%35%H18Cincinnati Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 35%35%N19Texas A&M Location: Away 11/14 Win Probability: 27%27%A20BYU Location: Away 02/24 Win Probability: 23%23%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
9In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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