JThom Analytics Logo
Southern Miss logo

Southern Miss #219

Team Page

17-18
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Sun Belt logo

Team Schedule

Southern Miss logo

Away

4-11
Miami logo
#28
LSU logo
#68
South Carolina logo
#98
Troy logo
#134
Arkansas State logo
#146
South Alabama logo
#195
Marshall logo
#200
Buffalo logo
#217
Texas State logo
#231
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Radford logo
#242
Grambling State logo
#296
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
Georgia State logo
#315
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356

Neutral

5-2
Ole Miss logo
#61
Troy logo
#134
Appalachian State logo
#184
James Madison logo
#202
Texas State logo
#231
UT Martin logo
#235
North Florida logo
#334

Home

8-3
Troy logo
#134
Arkansas State logo
#146
Kent State logo
#152
Appalachian State logo
#184
South Alabama logo
#195
James Madison logo
#202
Texas State logo
#231
Old Dominion logo
#234
Grambling State logo
#296
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356
Tougaloo logo
Non D1
William Carey logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Southern Miss logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Buffalo logo
#21738%89%79-85
Nov 6Home
Tougaloo logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Away
South Carolina logo
#9811%64%79-83
Nov 13Away
Grambling State logo
#29661%95%70-75
Nov 18Home
William Carey logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 22Neutral
North Florida logo
#33484%99%92-83
Nov 23Neutral
UT Martin logo
#23556%95%70-60
Dec 3Away
Radford logo
#24245%92%82-75
Dec 6Away
Miami logo
#283%27%64-88
Dec 8Home
Grambling State logo
#29680%98%68-60
Dec 13Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#619%60%67-71
Dec 18Home
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30182%98%62-54
Dec 20Home
Arkansas State logo
#14642%91%86-93
Dec 29Away
LSU logo
#687%50%62-90
Jan 1Away
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35684%99%87-73
Jan 3Away
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30162%96%74-67
Jan 8Home
Texas State logo
#23166%96%80-70
Jan 10Home
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35693%99%70-60
Jan 14Away
Troy logo
#13419%76%65-91
Jan 17Away
Texas State logo
#23143%91%67-74
Jan 22Away
Georgia State logo
#31566%96%62-69
Jan 24Away
Coastal Carolina logo
#24145%92%67-85
Jan 29Home
Appalachian State logo
#18453%94%63-70
Jan 31Home
James Madison logo
#20258%95%73-65
Feb 4Away
Marshall logo
#20033%87%77-81
Feb 7Home
Kent State logo
#15244%91%66-65
Feb 12Home
South Alabama logo
#19556%95%78-84
Feb 14Home
Troy logo
#13438%90%69-65
Feb 21Home
Old Dominion logo
#23468%97%86-81
Feb 24Away
Arkansas State logo
#14622%79%84-89
Feb 27Away
South Alabama logo
#19532%87%68-55
Mar 5Neutral
James Madison logo
#20246%93%86-80
Mar 6Neutral
Texas State logo
#23155%95%81-77
Mar 7Neutral
Appalachian State logo
#18440%91%86-73
Mar 8Neutral
Troy logo
#13427%85%70-78

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MiamiLSUOle MissSouth CarolinaTroyArkansas StateTroySouth AlabamaMarshallBuffaloTroyArkansas StateTexas StateAppalachian StateKent StateCoastal CarolinaRadfordJames MadisonAppalachian StateSouth AlabamaTexas StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games10-2, 2 left
Record:
17-16
#50 Fcst:
28.8-4.2
Act Win %:
52%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-11.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Southern Miss logo
051015Tougaloo Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H18William Carey Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Louisiana-Monroe Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 93%93%H1North Florida Location: Neutral 11/22 Win Probability: 84%84%N2Louisiana-Monroe Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 84%84%A3Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 82%82%H4Grambling State Location: Home 12/08 Win Probability: 80%80%H5Old Dominion Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 68%68%H6Texas State Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 66%66%H7Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 62%62%A8James Madison Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 58%58%H9UT Martin Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 56%56%N10Texas State Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 55%55%N11James Madison Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 46%46%N12Radford Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 45%45%A13Kent State Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 44%44%H14Appalachian State Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 40%40%N15Troy Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 38%38%H16South Alabama Location: Away 02/27 Win Probability: 32%32%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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