JThom Analytics Logo
TCU logo

TCU #45

Team Page

22-11
Overall
11-7
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
9.0
Avg Seed
Big 12 logo

Team Schedule

TCU logo

Away

5-5
Kansas logo
#20
Texas Tech logo
#22
BYU logo
#29
Baylor logo
#47
UCF logo
#54
Colorado logo
#75
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Kansas State logo
#95
Utah logo
#126
North Texas logo
#137

Neutral

3-1
Florida logo
#4
Kansas logo
#20
Wisconsin logo
#21
Oklahoma State logo
#78

Home

14-5
Michigan logo
#2
Arizona logo
#3
Houston logo
#5
Iowa State logo
#7
Cincinnati logo
#33
Baylor logo
#47
West Virginia logo
#59
Arizona State logo
#71
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Notre Dame logo
#93
Kansas State logo
#95
New Orleans logo
#205
Lamar logo
#246
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Florida A&M logo
#307
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Jackson State logo
#337
Saint Francis U logo
#354
Kansas City logo
#362

Schedule Chart

TCU logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
New Orleans logo
#20596%95%74-78
Nov 6Home
Saint Francis U logo
#354100%99%104-63
Nov 10Home
Lamar logo
#24697%97%78-65
Nov 14Home
Michigan logo
#218%16%63-67
Nov 19Home
Kansas City logo
#362100%100%81-45
Nov 27Neutral
Florida logo
#415%13%84-80
Nov 28Neutral
Wisconsin logo
#2132%29%74-63
Dec 5Home
Notre Dame logo
#9383%81%85-87
Dec 7Away
North Texas logo
#13779%77%65-55
Dec 15Home
Incarnate Word logo
#26798%98%69-65
Dec 18Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31199%99%72-53
Dec 21Home
Florida A&M logo
#30799%98%80-56
Dec 29Home
Jackson State logo
#33799%99%115-64
Jan 3Home
Baylor logo
#4764%61%69-63
Jan 6Away
Kansas logo
#2022%20%100-104
Jan 10Home
Arizona logo
#320%18%73-86
Jan 14Away
BYU logo
#2930%27%70-76
Jan 17Away
Utah logo
#12676%74%79-82
Jan 20Home
Oklahoma State logo
#7878%75%68-65
Jan 24Away
Baylor logo
#4740%37%97-90
Jan 28Home
Houston logo
#524%22%70-79
Feb 1Away
Colorado logo
#7556%53%61-87
Feb 7Home
Kansas State logo
#9584%82%84-82
Feb 10Home
Iowa State logo
#727%24%62-55
Feb 14Away
Oklahoma State logo
#7856%53%95-92
Feb 17Away
UCF logo
#5446%43%71-82
Feb 21Home
West Virginia logo
#5972%69%60-54
Feb 24Home
Arizona State logo
#7176%74%90-78
Feb 28Away
Kansas State logo
#9566%63%77-68
Mar 3Away
Texas Tech logo
#2224%22%73-65
Mar 7Home
Cincinnati logo
#3356%53%73-63
Mar 11Neutral
Oklahoma State logo
#7869%66%95-88
Mar 12Neutral
Kansas logo
#2031%28%73-78

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaMichiganArizonaKansasHoustonTexas TechIowa StateBYUKansasWisconsinBaylorUCFColoradoCincinnatiOklahoma StateBaylorKansas StateOklahoma StateWest VirginiaArizona StateUtahOklahoma StateNorth TexasNotre DameKansas StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 0 left
Record:
22-11
#50 Fcst:
19.7-13.3
Act Win %:
67%
#50 Fcst %:
60%
TWV:
+2.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 25 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

TCU logo
05101520Kansas City Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Saint Francis U Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Jackson State Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Oral Roberts Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Florida A&M Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H5Incarnate Word Location: Home 12/15 Win Probability: 98%98%H6Lamar Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Kansas State Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 84%84%H8North Texas Location: Away 12/07 Win Probability: 79%79%A9Oklahoma State Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 78%78%H10Arizona State Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 76%76%H11West Virginia Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 72%72%H12Oklahoma State Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 69%69%N13Kansas State Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 66%66%A14Baylor Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 64%64%H15Oklahoma State Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 56%56%A16Cincinnati Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 56%56%H17Baylor Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 40%40%A18Wisconsin Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 32%32%N19Iowa State Location: Home 02/10 Win Probability: 27%27%H20Texas Tech Location: Away 03/03 Win Probability: 24%24%A21Florida Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 15%15%N2222WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
9In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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