Southern logo

Southern #265

Team Page

14-20
Overall
10-6
Conference
49%
NCAA Bid
16.0
Avg Seed
Southwestern Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Southern logo

Away

6-12
Illinois logo
#6
Arkansas logo
#16
Texas logo
#42
Baylor logo
#47
Washington logo
#51
Marquette logo
#79
California Baptist logo
#104
San Jose State logo
#227
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Texas State logo
#231
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Northwestern State logo
#295
Grambling State logo
#296
Texas Southern logo
#303
Florida A&M logo
#307
Alabama A&M logo
#308
Alabama State logo
#317
Jackson State logo
#337
Alcorn State logo
#346

Neutral

2-0
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Florida A&M logo
#307
UAPB logo
#314

Home

5-3
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Grambling State logo
#296
Texas Southern logo
#303
Florida A&M logo
#307
Alabama A&M logo
#308
UAPB logo
#314
Alabama State logo
#317
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365
Champion Christian College logo
Non D1
Ecclesia logo
Non D1
Louisiana College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Southern logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Arkansas logo
#161%18%77-109
Nov 5Away
Marquette logo
#795%53%82-100
Nov 10Home
Ecclesia logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Home
Champion Christian College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Away
Washington logo
#513%41%93-99
Nov 21Away
San Jose State logo
#22729%91%66-80
Nov 29Away
Northwestern State logo
#29547%95%75-73
Dec 1Home
Louisiana College logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 8Away
Texas logo
#422%32%69-95
Dec 10Away
Texas State logo
#23130%91%83-86
Dec 16Away
California Baptist logo
#1048%67%67-75
Dec 21Away
Baylor logo
#472%37%67-111
Dec 29Away
Illinois logo
#60%11%55-90
Jan 3Home
Texas Southern logo
#30372%98%84-73
Jan 5Home
Prairie View A&M logo
#28868%98%
Jan 5Home
Prairie View A&M logo
#28868%98%
Jan 10Away
Florida A&M logo
#30750%96%59-67
Jan 12Away
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22930%91%77-73
Jan 17Away
Grambling State logo
#29647%95%71-53
Jan 24Home
UAPB logo
#31474%99%74-75
Jan 28Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36595%100%80-69
Jan 31Away
Alcorn State logo
#34670%98%73-78
Feb 2Away
Jackson State logo
#33765%98%96-91
Feb 7Home
Alabama A&M logo
#30873%98%81-68
Feb 9Home
Alabama State logo
#31776%99%69-68
Feb 14Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28845%95%
Feb 14Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28845%95%
Feb 14Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28845%95%
Feb 14Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28845%95%
Feb 16Away
Texas Southern logo
#30349%96%73-74
Feb 21Home
Grambling State logo
#29670%98%87-73
Feb 26Home
Florida A&M logo
#30773%98%71-82
Feb 28Home
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22953%96%79-82
Mar 3Away
Alabama State logo
#31754%97%71-64
Mar 5Away
Alabama A&M logo
#30850%96%88-85
Mar 12Neutral
UAPB logo
#31465%98%84-81
Mar 13Neutral
Florida A&M logo
#30763%98%73-70
Mar 14Neutral
Prairie View A&M logo
#28857%97%
Mar 14Neutral
Prairie View A&M logo
#28857%97%

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%IllinoisArkansasTexasBaylorWashingtonMarquetteCalifornia BaptistSan Jose StateBethune-CookmanTexas StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-6, 11 left
Record:
13-15
#50 Fcst:
22.9-5.1
Act Win %:
46%
#50 Fcst %:
82%
TWV:
-9.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 10 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Southern logo
05101520Ecclesia Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Champion Christian College Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Louisiana College Location: Home 12/01 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Prairie View A&M Location: Home 01/05 Win Probability: 68%68%H17Prairie View A&M Location: Home 01/05 Win Probability: 68%68%H18Prairie View A&M Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 57%57%N19Prairie View A&M Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 57%57%N20Prairie View A&M Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 45%45%A21Prairie View A&M Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 45%45%A22Prairie View A&M Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 45%45%A23Prairie View A&M Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 45%45%A24Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 95%95%H1Alabama State Location: Home 02/09 Win Probability: 76%76%H2Alabama A&M Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 73%73%H3Texas Southern Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 72%72%H4Grambling State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 70%70%H5UAPB Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 65%65%N6Jackson State Location: Away 02/02 Win Probability: 65%65%A7Florida A&M Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 63%63%N8Alabama State Location: Away 03/03 Win Probability: 54%54%A9Alabama A&M Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 50%50%A10Grambling State Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 47%47%A11Northwestern State Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 47%47%A12Bethune-Cookman Location: Away 01/12 Win Probability: 30%30%A1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
16In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%100%49%
14100%51%
Total49%49%51%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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