JThom Analytics Logo
Cincinnati logo

Cincinnati #33

Team Page

18-15
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big 12 logo

Team Schedule

Cincinnati logo

Away

2-8
Arizona logo
#3
Houston logo
#5
Kansas logo
#20
Texas Tech logo
#22
TCU logo
#45
UCF logo
#54
West Virginia logo
#59
Arizona State logo
#71
Kansas State logo
#95
Xavier logo
#97

Neutral

1-4
Louisville logo
#19
Georgia logo
#31
Clemson logo
#32
UCF logo
#54
Utah logo
#126

Home

15-3
Houston logo
#5
Iowa State logo
#7
BYU logo
#29
Baylor logo
#47
UCF logo
#54
West Virginia logo
#59
Dayton logo
#73
Colorado logo
#75
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Utah logo
#126
Western Carolina logo
#216
Lipscomb logo
#218
Tarleton State logo
#224
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Georgia State logo
#315
Alabama State logo
#317
NJIT logo
#328

Schedule Chart

Cincinnati logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Western Carolina logo
#21697%96%94-63
Nov 7Home
Georgia State logo
#31599%99%74-64
Nov 11Home
Dayton logo
#7381%74%74-62
Nov 16Home
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26998%98%72-55
Nov 21Neutral
Louisville logo
#1935%27%64-74
Nov 24Home
NJIT logo
#32899%99%94-67
Nov 26Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25598%97%56-64
Dec 1Home
Tarleton State logo
#22497%96%76-58
Dec 5Away
Xavier logo
#9772%63%74-79
Dec 13Neutral
Georgia logo
#3148%39%65-84
Dec 17Home
Alabama State logo
#31799%99%88-51
Dec 21Neutral
Clemson logo
#3249%40%65-68
Dec 29Home
Lipscomb logo
#21897%96%89-62
Jan 3Home
Houston logo
#529%22%60-67
Jan 6Away
West Virginia logo
#5955%46%60-62
Jan 11Away
UCF logo
#5453%43%72-73
Jan 14Home
Colorado logo
#7581%75%77-68
Jan 17Home
Iowa State logo
#732%24%79-70
Jan 21Away
Arizona logo
#311%8%51-77
Jan 24Away
Arizona State logo
#7160%51%68-82
Jan 28Home
Baylor logo
#4770%61%67-57
Jan 31Away
Houston logo
#513%9%54-76
Feb 5Home
West Virginia logo
#5976%69%54-59
Feb 8Home
UCF logo
#5475%67%92-72
Feb 11Away
Kansas State logo
#9571%63%91-62
Feb 15Home
Utah logo
#12692%88%69-65
Feb 21Away
Kansas logo
#2027%20%84-68
Feb 24Away
Texas Tech logo
#2229%22%68-80
Feb 28Home
Oklahoma State logo
#7882%75%91-68
Mar 3Home
BYU logo
#2959%50%90-68
Mar 7Away
TCU logo
#4544%35%63-73
Mar 10Neutral
Utah logo
#12688%83%73-66
Mar 11Neutral
UCF logo
#5465%56%65-66

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArizonaHoustonKansasHoustonTexas TechIowa StateLouisvilleTCUGeorgiaClemsonUCFWest VirginiaBYUArizona StateUCFBaylorKansas StateXavierUCFWest VirginiaDaytonColoradoOklahoma StateUtahUtahDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 0 left
Record:
18-15
#50 Fcst:
19.9-13.1
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
60%
TWV:
-1.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 25 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Cincinnati logo
051015NJIT Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Alabama State Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Georgia State Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Mount St. Mary's Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 98%98%H4Tarleton State Location: Home 12/01 Win Probability: 97%97%H5Lipscomb Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Western Carolina Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Utah Location: Home 02/15 Win Probability: 92%92%H8Utah Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 88%88%N9Oklahoma State Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 82%82%H10Colorado Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 81%81%H11Dayton Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 81%81%H12UCF Location: Home 02/08 Win Probability: 75%75%H13Kansas State Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 71%71%A14Baylor Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 70%70%H15BYU Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 59%59%H16Iowa State Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 32%32%H17Kansas Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 27%27%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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