Missouri State logo

Missouri State #199

Team Page

13-21
Overall
8-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Conference USA logo

Team Schedule

Missouri State logo

Away

3-10
Tulsa logo
#64
Xavier logo
#97
Sam Houston logo
#109
Liberty logo
#119
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
UT Arlington logo
#175
FIU logo
#186
New Mexico State logo
#187
Louisiana Tech logo
#192
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304

Neutral

2-1
Liberty logo
#119
FIU logo
#186
Louisiana Tech logo
#192

Home

8-7
Sam Houston logo
#109
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Arkansas State logo
#146
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
FIU logo
#186
New Mexico State logo
#187
Louisiana Tech logo
#192
Jacksonville State logo
#204
LIU logo
#221
Lindenwood logo
#264
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Missouri Southern State logo
Non D1
Northeastern State logo
Non D1
Northwestern Oklahoma State logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Missouri State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Missouri Southern State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Home
Northwestern Oklahoma State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Home
Arkansas State logo
#14647%91%85-86
Nov 15Away
UT Arlington logo
#17532%84%49-67
Nov 22Home
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12139%88%74-67
Nov 24Home
LIU logo
#22168%96%61-75
Nov 30Home
Northeastern State logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Away
Tulsa logo
#648%48%74-98
Dec 12Away
Xavier logo
#9713%63%57-75
Dec 16Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31186%99%63-62
Dec 23Home
Lindenwood logo
#26477%97%70-65
Dec 29Away
Delaware logo
#30468%96%61-43
Jan 2Home
UTEP logo
#27579%98%79-55
Jan 4Home
New Mexico State logo
#18758%94%89-82
Jan 7Away
Kennesaw State logo
#15127%80%80-90
Jan 10Home
FIU logo
#18658%94%79-71
Jan 14Away
Western Kentucky logo
#16330%82%72-87
Jan 17Away
Middle Tennessee logo
#16930%83%87-90
Jan 22Away
New Mexico State logo
#18735%85%84-75
Jan 24Away
UTEP logo
#27559%94%62-57
Jan 28Home
Sam Houston logo
#10934%85%71-80
Jan 31Home
Jacksonville State logo
#20463%95%74-67
Feb 7Away
Liberty logo
#11919%72%76-79
Feb 12Home
Louisiana Tech logo
#19260%94%78-79
Feb 14Home
Delaware logo
#30485%98%67-76
Feb 18Home
Kennesaw State logo
#15149%91%87-91
Feb 21Away
FIU logo
#18634%85%67-70
Feb 26Away
Louisiana Tech logo
#19236%86%70-72
Feb 28Away
Sam Houston logo
#10916%68%81-86
Mar 5Home
Western Kentucky logo
#16353%93%87-74
Mar 7Home
Middle Tennessee logo
#16954%93%63-75
Mar 10Neutral
FIU logo
#18646%91%75-72
Mar 11Neutral
Liberty logo
#11927%82%77-69
Mar 13Neutral
Louisiana Tech logo
#19247%92%66-69

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TulsaXavierSam HoustonLibertyKennesaw StateLibertyWestern KentuckyMiddle TennesseeUT ArlingtonSam HoustonFIUNew Mexico StateLouisiana TechTexas-Rio Grande ValleyArkansas StateFIUKennesaw StateLouisiana TechWestern KentuckyMiddle TennesseeFIUNew Mexico StateUTEPLouisiana TechDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-2, 3 left
Record:
13-18
#50 Fcst:
27.0-4.0
Act Win %:
42%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-14.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Missouri State logo
051015Missouri Southern State Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Northwestern Oklahoma State Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Northeastern State Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Oral Roberts Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 86%86%H1UTEP Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 79%79%H2Lindenwood Location: Home 12/23 Win Probability: 77%77%H3Delaware Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 68%68%A4Jacksonville State Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 63%63%H5UTEP Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 59%59%A6New Mexico State Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 58%58%H7FIU Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 58%58%H8Western Kentucky Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 53%53%H9FIU Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 46%46%N10Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 39%39%H11New Mexico State Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 35%35%A12Liberty Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 27%27%N1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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