Northern Arizona logo

Northern Arizona #325

Team Page

7-25
Overall
4-14
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Northern Arizona logo

Away

1-13
Arizona logo
#3
Arizona State logo
#71
North Dakota State logo
#115
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
San Diego logo
#226
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274

Neutral

0-2
Drake logo
#207
Idaho State logo
#268

Home

6-7
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
South Dakota State logo
#215
Cal Poly logo
#220
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
Southern Utah logo
#266
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
Benedictine Mesa logo
Non D1
Embry Riddle logo
Non D1
Justice College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Northern Arizona logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
Drake logo
#20717%93%71-77
Nov 7Home
Justice College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Away
Arizona logo
#30%8%49-84
Nov 18Home
Embry Riddle logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 24Home
Cal Poly logo
#22030%96%93-87
Nov 26Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23234%97%79-72
Dec 3Home
South Dakota State logo
#21529%96%62-75
Dec 6Away
North Dakota State logo
#1154%70%68-69
Dec 9Away
Arizona State logo
#712%51%48-73
Dec 13Away
San Diego logo
#22615%91%69-78
Dec 18Home
Southern Utah logo
#26642%98%65-57
Dec 21Away
Incarnate Word logo
#26721%94%66-90
Dec 29Home
Benedictine Mesa logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Away
Montana logo
#18510%85%64-78
Jan 3Away
Montana State logo
#1336%76%68-77
Jan 8Home
Weber State logo
#20927%95%65-78
Jan 10Home
Idaho State logo
#26842%98%79-81
Jan 15Away
Sacramento State logo
#27423%94%69-83
Jan 17Away
Portland State logo
#1537%80%52-63
Jan 19Home
Montana logo
#18522%94%72-98
Jan 24Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13815%90%81-77
Jan 29Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16419%93%92-86
Jan 31Home
Idaho logo
#14516%91%62-79
Feb 5Away
Idaho State logo
#26822%94%79-73
Feb 7Away
Weber State logo
#20912%88%53-72
Feb 12Home
Portland State logo
#15317%92%68-77
Feb 14Home
Sacramento State logo
#27444%98%79-74
Feb 21Away
Northern Colorado logo
#1386%78%77-78
Feb 26Away
Idaho logo
#1457%79%58-78
Feb 28Away
Eastern Washington logo
#1648%83%57-88
Mar 2Home
Montana State logo
#13313%89%65-76
Mar 7Neutral
Idaho State logo
#26830%96%65-73

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArizonaArizona StateNorth Dakota StateMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonMontanaWeber StateMontana StateNorthern ColoradoSan DiegoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonDrakeIncarnate WordIdaho StateMontanaSacramento StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-4, 3 left
Record:
7-22
#50 Fcst:
24.8-4.2
Act Win %:
24%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-17.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Northern Arizona logo
0510Justice College Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H8Embry Riddle Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 100%100%H9Benedictine Mesa Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H10Sacramento State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 44%44%H1Southern Utah Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 42%42%H2Southeast Missouri State Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 34%34%H3Cal Poly Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 30%30%H4Idaho State Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 22%22%A5Eastern Washington Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 19%19%H6Northern Colorado Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 15%15%H77WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
7100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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