JThom Analytics Logo
Iowa logo

Iowa #25

Team Page

21-12
Overall
10-10
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
9.0
Avg Seed
Big Ten logo

Team Schedule

Iowa logo

Away

3-8
Iowa State logo
#7
Purdue logo
#8
Michigan State logo
#11
Nebraska logo
#18
Wisconsin logo
#21
Indiana logo
#44
Washington logo
#51
Minnesota logo
#72
Oregon logo
#96
Maryland logo
#112
Penn State logo
#140

Neutral

3-1
Ohio State logo
#23
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Ole Miss logo
#61
Maryland logo
#112

Home

15-3
Michigan logo
#2
Illinois logo
#6
Purdue logo
#8
Nebraska logo
#18
Ohio State logo
#23
UCLA logo
#26
Northwestern logo
#60
USC logo
#86
Xavier logo
#97
Maryland logo
#112
Rutgers logo
#118
Robert Morris logo
#149
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
Western Michigan logo
#280
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#318
Bucknell logo
#327
Chicago State logo
#345
Western Illinois logo
#364

Schedule Chart

Iowa logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Robert Morris logo
#14995%91%101-69
Nov 7Home
Western Illinois logo
#364100%100%77-58
Nov 14Home
Xavier logo
#9790%82%81-62
Nov 18Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23298%97%99-70
Nov 20Home
Chicago State logo
#345100%99%93-54
Nov 25Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#6175%60%74-69
Nov 26Neutral
Grand Canyon logo
#5673%57%59-46
Dec 2Away
Michigan State logo
#1125%15%52-71
Dec 6Home
Maryland logo
#11292%86%83-64
Dec 11Away
Iowa State logo
#719%11%62-66
Dec 14Home
Western Michigan logo
#28099%98%91-51
Dec 20Home
Bucknell logo
#32799%99%94-39
Dec 29Home
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#31899%99%90-62
Jan 3Home
UCLA logo
#2662%46%74-61
Jan 6Away
Minnesota logo
#7267%52%67-70
Jan 11Home
Illinois logo
#638%24%69-75
Jan 14Away
Purdue logo
#821%12%72-79
Jan 17Away
Indiana logo
#4450%34%74-57
Jan 20Home
Rutgers logo
#11893%87%68-62
Jan 28Home
USC logo
#8687%78%73-72
Feb 1Away
Oregon logo
#9677%63%84-66
Feb 4Away
Washington logo
#5157%41%84-74
Feb 8Home
Northwestern logo
#6082%70%76-70
Feb 11Away
Maryland logo
#11282%70%70-77
Feb 14Home
Purdue logo
#841%27%57-78
Feb 17Home
Nebraska logo
#1855%38%57-52
Feb 22Away
Wisconsin logo
#2134%21%71-84
Feb 25Home
Ohio State logo
#2361%44%74-57
Feb 28Away
Penn State logo
#14087%78%69-71
Mar 5Home
Michigan logo
#227%16%68-71
Mar 8Away
Nebraska logo
#1831%19%75-84
Mar 11Neutral
Maryland logo
#11289%80%75-64
Mar 12Neutral
Ohio State logo
#2349%32%69-72

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Iowa StatePurdueMichigan StateMichiganNebraskaWisconsinIllinoisPurdueOhio StateIndianaNebraskaWashingtonOhio StateUCLAMinnesotaGrand CanyonOle MissOregonMarylandNorthwesternUSCPenn StateMarylandXavierMarylandRutgersRobert MorrisDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 0 left
Record:
21-12
#50 Fcst:
19.2-13.8
Act Win %:
64%
#50 Fcst %:
58%
TWV:
+1.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 27 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Iowa logo
05101520Western Illinois Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Chicago State Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Bucknell Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Massachusetts-Lowell Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Western Michigan Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 99%99%H5Southeast Missouri State Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 98%98%H6Robert Morris Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 95%95%H7Rutgers Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 93%93%H8Maryland Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 92%92%H9Xavier Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 90%90%H10Maryland Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 89%89%N11USC Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 87%87%H12Northwestern Location: Home 02/08 Win Probability: 82%82%H13Oregon Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 77%77%A14Ole Miss Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 75%75%N15Grand Canyon Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 73%73%N16UCLA Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 62%62%H17Ohio State Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 61%61%H18Washington Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 57%57%A19Nebraska Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 55%55%H20Indiana Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 50%50%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
9In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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