JThom Analytics Logo
Utah State logo

Utah State #30

Team Page

27-7
Overall
15-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
8.0
Avg Seed
Mountain West logo

Team Schedule

Utah State logo

Away

7-5
San Diego State logo
#48
South Florida logo
#49
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Boise State logo
#57
Nevada logo
#80
Colorado State logo
#91
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Fresno State logo
#139
Charlotte logo
#176
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

7-0
VCU logo
#46
San Diego State logo
#48
Nevada logo
#80
Illinois State logo
#101
UNLV logo
#110
Davidson logo
#111
Tulane logo
#201

Home

13-1
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Boise State logo
#57
Nevada logo
#80
Colorado State logo
#91
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Memphis logo
#131
Montana State logo
#133
Fresno State logo
#139
Weber State logo
#209
San Jose State logo
#227
UTEP logo
#275
Westminster (UT) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Utah State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Westminster (UT) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Neutral
VCU logo
#4659%47%80-77
Nov 12Home
Weber State logo
#20997%95%83-73
Nov 15Home
UTEP logo
#27599%98%75-51
Nov 21Neutral
Tulane logo
#20195%93%96-75
Nov 23Neutral
Davidson logo
#11186%79%94-60
Nov 29Home
Montana State logo
#13393%89%84-81
Dec 4Away
South Florida logo
#4949%38%61-74
Dec 7Away
Charlotte logo
#17689%84%79-53
Dec 13Neutral
Illinois State logo
#10184%77%83-78
Dec 20Home
Colorado State logo
#9187%80%100-58
Dec 30Away
Fresno State logo
#13985%78%72-63
Jan 3Home
San Jose State logo
#22798%96%96-78
Jan 6Away
Air Force logo
#35099%98%99-62
Jan 10Away
Boise State logo
#5756%45%93-68
Jan 14Home
Nevada logo
#8083%76%71-62
Jan 17Away
Grand Canyon logo
#5656%45%74-84
Jan 20Home
UNLV logo
#11090%85%76-86
Jan 23Away
Colorado State logo
#9171%60%65-61
Jan 28Home
Wyoming logo
#10389%84%94-62
Jan 31Home
San Diego State logo
#4871%61%71-66
Feb 4Away
New Mexico logo
#5253%42%86-66
Feb 7Away
Wyoming logo
#10376%67%85-83
Feb 10Home
Fresno State logo
#13994%90%91-78
Feb 14Home
Memphis logo
#13193%89%99-75
Feb 18Home
Boise State logo
#5777%68%75-56
Feb 21Away
Nevada logo
#8065%54%77-80
Feb 25Away
San Diego State logo
#4848%37%72-89
Feb 28Home
Grand Canyon logo
#5677%68%74-69
Mar 3Away
UNLV logo
#11078%69%65-92
Mar 7Home
New Mexico logo
#5275%65%94-90
Mar 12Neutral
UNLV logo
#11086%79%80-60
Mar 13Neutral
Nevada logo
#8076%66%79-66
Mar 14Neutral
San Diego State logo
#4861%49%73-62

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%San Diego StateSouth FloridaNew MexicoGrand CanyonBoise StateVCUSan Diego StateNevadaColorado StateSan Diego StateNew MexicoNevadaWyomingGrand CanyonBoise StateUNLVNevadaIllinois StateFresno StateUNLVDavidsonColorado StateCharlotteWyomingUNLVMemphisMontana StateFresno StateTulaneDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 1 left
Record:
27-6
#50 Fcst:
23.5-9.5
Act Win %:
82%
#50 Fcst %:
71%
TWV:
+3.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 29 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Utah State logo
0510152025Westminster (UT) Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H28Air Force Location: Away 01/06 Win Probability: 99%99%A1UTEP Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 99%99%H2San Jose State Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 98%98%H3Weber State Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 97%97%H4Tulane Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 95%95%N5Fresno State Location: Home 02/10 Win Probability: 94%94%H6Montana State Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 93%93%H7Memphis Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 93%93%H8Wyoming Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 89%89%H9Charlotte Location: Away 12/07 Win Probability: 89%89%A10Colorado State Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 87%87%H11Davidson Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 86%86%N12UNLV Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 86%86%N13Fresno State Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 85%85%A14Illinois State Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 84%84%N15Nevada Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 83%83%H16Boise State Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 77%77%H17Grand Canyon Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 77%77%H18Wyoming Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 76%76%A19Nevada Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 76%76%N20New Mexico Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 75%75%H21San Diego State Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 71%71%H22Colorado State Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 71%71%A23San Diego State Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 61%61%N24VCU Location: Neutral 11/07 Win Probability: 59%59%N25Boise State Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 56%56%A26New Mexico Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 53%53%A2727WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
8In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
27100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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