Fresno State logo

Fresno State #139

Team Page

12-20
Overall
7-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mountain West logo

Team Schedule

Fresno State logo

Away

2-10
Arkansas logo
#16
Utah State logo
#30
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Nevada logo
#80
Colorado State logo
#91
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
CSUN logo
#178
San Jose State logo
#227
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

1-2
Colorado State logo
#91
Pepperdine logo
#273
Bakersfield logo
#332

Home

9-7
Utah State logo
#30
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Boise State logo
#57
Nevada logo
#80
Utah Valley logo
#88
Colorado State logo
#91
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
California-San Diego logo
#124
New Orleans logo
#205
San Jose State logo
#227
Long Beach State logo
#251
USC Upstate logo
#305
Air Force logo
#350
Fresno Pacific logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Fresno State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Fresno Pacific logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 5Home
USC Upstate logo
#30592%98%66-67
Nov 8Home
Long Beach State logo
#25185%97%82-62
Nov 12Home
California-San Diego logo
#12456%88%73-78
Nov 15Home
Utah Valley logo
#8840%79%75-74
Nov 18Home
Stephen F. Austin logo
#9242%81%80-78
Nov 21Home
New Orleans logo
#20577%95%85-76
Nov 26Neutral
Pepperdine logo
#27382%97%76-53
Nov 30Neutral
Bakersfield logo
#33292%99%71-76
Dec 6Away
Arkansas logo
#164%18%58-82
Dec 10Away
CSUN logo
#17849%84%87-89
Dec 20Away
UNLV logo
#11028%69%72-84
Dec 30Home
Utah State logo
#3015%51%63-72
Jan 3Home
Nevada logo
#8035%76%65-66
Jan 6Away
San Jose State logo
#22763%91%70-55
Jan 10Away
San Diego State logo
#489%37%52-71
Jan 13Home
Colorado State logo
#9141%80%79-69
Jan 17Home
Wyoming logo
#10348%84%63-60
Jan 21Away
New Mexico logo
#5211%42%74-83
Jan 24Home
Grand Canyon logo
#5627%68%57-68
Jan 31Away
Air Force logo
#35091%98%79-62
Feb 3Home
UNLV logo
#11050%85%98-96
Feb 7Away
Nevada logo
#8017%54%59-69
Feb 10Away
Utah State logo
#306%28%78-91
Feb 14Home
Air Force logo
#35096%99%93-63
Feb 17Away
Wyoming logo
#10326%67%82-92
Feb 21Home
New Mexico logo
#5225%65%78-80
Feb 24Away
Colorado State logo
#9121%60%70-74
Feb 28Home
Boise State logo
#5727%68%53-69
Mar 3Home
San Jose State logo
#22782%96%82-68
Mar 7Away
Grand Canyon logo
#5612%45%60-85
Mar 11Neutral
Colorado State logo
#9129%72%63-67

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArkansasUtah StateSan Diego StateNew MexicoGrand CanyonUtah StateNevadaColorado StateNew MexicoWyomingGrand CanyonBoise StateUNLVColorado StateNevadaUtah ValleyColorado StateStephen F. AustinWyomingCSUNUNLVCalifornia-San DiegoSan Jose StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-2, 1 left
Record:
12-19
#50 Fcst:
22.7-8.3
Act Win %:
39%
#50 Fcst %:
73%
TWV:
-10.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Fresno State logo
0510Fresno Pacific Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Air Force Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Air Force Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 91%91%A2Long Beach State Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 85%85%H3Pepperdine Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 82%82%N4San Jose State Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 82%82%H5New Orleans Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 77%77%H6San Jose State Location: Away 01/06 Win Probability: 63%63%A7UNLV Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 50%50%H8Wyoming Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 48%48%H9Stephen F. Austin Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 42%42%H10Colorado State Location: Home 01/13 Win Probability: 41%41%H11Utah Valley Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 40%40%H1212WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
12100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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