JThom Analytics Logo
SMU logo

SMU #43

Team Page

20-13
Overall
8-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic Coast logo

Team Schedule

SMU logo

Away

3-8
Duke logo
#1
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Louisville logo
#19
Clemson logo
#32
Florida State logo
#58
Stanford logo
#62
Wake Forest logo
#67
California logo
#74
Syracuse logo
#83
Mississippi State logo
#94
Pittsburgh logo
#100

Neutral

2-2
Louisville logo
#19
Texas A&M logo
#41
LSU logo
#68
Syracuse logo
#83

Home

15-3
Virginia logo
#14
Louisville logo
#19
Miami logo
#28
North Carolina logo
#35
North Carolina State logo
#36
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Florida State logo
#58
Butler logo
#87
Notre Dame logo
#93
Murray State logo
#129
Boston College logo
#143
Arkansas State logo
#146
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Tarleton State logo
#224
Radford logo
#242
UAPB logo
#314

Schedule Chart

SMU logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Tarleton State logo
#22497%96%96-76
Nov 6Home
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18195%94%69-58
Nov 11Home
Murray State logo
#12991%89%102-91
Nov 15Home
Butler logo
#8782%78%87-85
Nov 18Home
UAPB logo
#31499%99%106-60
Nov 21Home
Arkansas State logo
#14693%91%100-69
Nov 24Home
Radford logo
#24297%97%89-72
Nov 28Away
Mississippi State logo
#9468%63%87-81
Dec 3Away
Vanderbilt logo
#1219%15%69-88
Dec 7Neutral
Texas A&M logo
#4149%43%93-80
Dec 13Neutral
LSU logo
#6868%63%77-89
Dec 21Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15693%92%99-82
Dec 28Home
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18995%94%110-63
Jan 3Home
North Carolina logo
#3560%54%97-83
Jan 7Away
Clemson logo
#3234%29%70-74
Jan 10Away
Duke logo
#18%7%75-82
Jan 14Home
Virginia Tech logo
#5572%67%77-76
Jan 17Home
Virginia logo
#1441%35%68-72
Jan 20Away
Wake Forest logo
#6756%50%91-79
Jan 24Home
Florida State logo
#5873%68%83-80
Jan 31Away
Louisville logo
#1923%19%74-88
Feb 3Home
North Carolina State logo
#3660%54%83-84
Feb 7Away
Pittsburgh logo
#10070%65%86-67
Feb 10Home
Notre Dame logo
#9384%81%89-81
Feb 14Away
Syracuse logo
#8361%55%78-79
Feb 17Home
Louisville logo
#1944%38%95-85
Feb 21Home
Boston College logo
#14393%91%94-70
Feb 25Away
California logo
#7458%52%69-73
Feb 28Away
Stanford logo
#6253%47%75-95
Mar 4Home
Miami logo
#2856%50%69-77
Mar 7Away
Florida State logo
#5851%45%78-91
Mar 10Neutral
Syracuse logo
#8373%68%86-69
Mar 11Neutral
Louisville logo
#1932%27%58-62

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeVanderbiltLouisvilleLouisvilleClemsonVirginiaLouisvilleTexas A&MFlorida StateStanfordWake ForestMiamiCaliforniaNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina StateSyracuseLSUMississippi StatePittsburghVirginia TechSyracuseFlorida StateButlerNotre DameMurray StateBoston CollegeArkansas StateCentral ArkansasTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiCal State FullertonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games3-0, 0 left
Record:
20-13
#50 Fcst:
20.2-12.8
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
61%
TWV:
-0.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 30 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

SMU logo
05101520UAPB Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Radford Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 97%97%H2Tarleton State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 97%97%H3Cal State Fullerton Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 95%95%H4Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 95%95%H5Central Arkansas Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H6Arkansas State Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H7Boston College Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H8Murray State Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 91%91%H9Notre Dame Location: Home 02/10 Win Probability: 84%84%H10Butler Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 82%82%H11Florida State Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 73%73%H12Syracuse Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 73%73%N13Virginia Tech Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 72%72%H14Pittsburgh Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 70%70%A15Mississippi State Location: Away 11/28 Win Probability: 68%68%A16North Carolina Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 60%60%H17Wake Forest Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 56%56%A18Texas A&M Location: Neutral 12/07 Win Probability: 49%49%N19Louisville Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 44%44%H2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%100%
Total100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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