JThom Analytics Logo
Pacific logo

Pacific #113

Team Page

16-17
Overall
8-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
West Coast logo

Team Schedule

Pacific logo

Away

4-11
Gonzaga logo
#10
BYU logo
#29
Santa Clara logo
#34
California logo
#74
Nevada logo
#80
San Francisco logo
#120
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Washington State logo
#136
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
Oregon State logo
#170
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Portland logo
#225
San Diego logo
#226
Pepperdine logo
#273
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

3-1
Santa Clara logo
#34
Seattle logo
#116
Stony Brook logo
#230
Jacksonville logo
#289

Home

9-3
Saint Mary's logo
#24
Santa Clara logo
#34
Seattle logo
#116
San Francisco logo
#120
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
Oregon State logo
#170
Portland logo
#225
San Diego logo
#226
Nicholls logo
#247
Long Beach State logo
#251
Pepperdine logo
#273
Sacramento State logo
#274
Life Pacific logo
Non D1
Simpson logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Pacific logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 5Home
Life Pacific logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Nevada logo
#8023%54%77-78
Nov 12Home
Long Beach State logo
#25190%97%69-66
Nov 15Away
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18962%86%85-73
Nov 20Away
Florida Atlantic logo
#12743%74%59-82
Nov 24Neutral
Stony Brook logo
#23082%95%86-58
Nov 25Neutral
Jacksonville logo
#28990%97%68-53
Nov 29Home
Sacramento State logo
#27492%98%68-54
Dec 3Away
Air Force logo
#35094%98%80-65
Dec 6Away
California logo
#7422%52%61-67
Dec 13Home
Simpson logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 16Away
BYU logo
#299%27%57-93
Dec 21Home
Nicholls logo
#24789%97%95-82
Dec 28Away
San Diego logo
#22672%91%54-66
Dec 30Away
Loyola Marymount logo
#16253%81%71-80
Jan 2Home
Oregon State logo
#17077%93%84-53
Jan 4Home
Pepperdine logo
#27392%98%74-69
Jan 8Away
Portland logo
#22572%91%89-90
Jan 10Home
San Diego logo
#22687%96%77-70
Jan 14Away
Santa Clara logo
#3410%30%69-85
Jan 17Away
Oregon State logo
#17056%83%81-64
Jan 24Home
Seattle logo
#11662%86%56-54
Jan 28Home
Portland logo
#22587%96%74-51
Jan 31Away
San Francisco logo
#12041%73%82-87
Feb 4Home
Santa Clara logo
#3423%53%56-71
Feb 7Away
Pepperdine logo
#27380%94%92-59
Feb 11Home
Loyola Marymount logo
#16275%92%65-59
Feb 14Home
Saint Mary's logo
#2417%44%61-72
Feb 18Away
Washington State logo
#13647%77%70-87
Feb 21Away
Gonzaga logo
#104%14%62-71
Feb 28Home
San Francisco logo
#12065%88%61-72
Mar 7Neutral
Seattle logo
#11650%80%61-58
Mar 8Neutral
Santa Clara logo
#3415%40%68-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%GonzagaBYUSanta ClaraSanta ClaraSaint Mary'sCaliforniaSanta ClaraNevadaSan FranciscoFlorida AtlanticWashington StateSeattleLoyola MarymountOregon StateCal State FullertonSeattleSan FranciscoPortlandSan DiegoLoyola MarymountOregon StatePepperdineStony BrookDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-0, 2 left
Record:
16-15
#50 Fcst:
23.8-7.2
Act Win %:
52%
#50 Fcst %:
77%
TWV:
-7.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Pacific logo
051015Life Pacific Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Simpson Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Air Force Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 94%94%A1Sacramento State Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 92%92%H2Pepperdine Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H3Jacksonville Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 90%90%N4Long Beach State Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 90%90%H5Nicholls Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 89%89%H6San Diego Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 87%87%H7Portland Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 87%87%H8Stony Brook Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 82%82%N9Pepperdine Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 80%80%A10Oregon State Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 77%77%H11Loyola Marymount Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 75%75%H12Seattle Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 62%62%H13Cal State Fullerton Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 62%62%A14Oregon State Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 56%56%A15Seattle Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 50%50%N1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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