JThom Analytics Logo
Boise State logo

Boise State #57

Team Page

20-12
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mountain West logo

Team Schedule

Boise State logo

Away

6-5
Utah State logo
#30
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Nevada logo
#80
Butler logo
#87
Colorado State logo
#91
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Fresno State logo
#139
San Jose State logo
#227

Neutral

1-3
Saint Mary's logo
#24
North Carolina State logo
#36
USC logo
#86
San Jose State logo
#227
Chaminade logo
Non D1

Home

12-3
Utah State logo
#30
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Nevada logo
#80
Wichita State logo
#82
Utah Valley logo
#88
Colorado State logo
#91
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Duquesne logo
#125
Montana State logo
#133
San Jose State logo
#227
Air Force logo
#350
Hawaii Pacific logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Boise State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Hawaii Pacific logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Home
Utah Valley logo
#8874%79%101-77
Nov 11Home
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12184%88%85-65
Nov 15Home
Montana State logo
#13386%89%62-58
Nov 18Home
Wichita State logo
#8270%76%62-59
Nov 24Neutral
USC logo
#8663%69%67-70
Nov 25Neutral
North Carolina State logo
#3635%42%70-81
Nov 26Neutral
Chaminade logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Away
Butler logo
#8750%57%77-68
Dec 10Home
Duquesne logo
#12585%88%86-64
Dec 14Neutral
Saint Mary's logo
#2426%32%68-67
Dec 20Away
Nevada logo
#8047%54%66-81
Dec 30Home
New Mexico logo
#5259%65%62-53
Jan 3Away
San Diego State logo
#4831%37%107-110
Jan 7Home
Grand Canyon logo
#5662%68%58-75
Jan 10Home
Utah State logo
#3044%51%68-93
Jan 13Away
UNLV logo
#11062%69%85-89
Jan 16Home
Colorado State logo
#9175%80%79-73
Jan 20Away
Wyoming logo
#10360%67%81-65
Jan 24Home
Air Force logo
#35099%99%96-54
Jan 27Away
San Jose State logo
#22788%91%89-58
Jan 30Away
Grand Canyon logo
#5638%45%69-86
Feb 3Home
Nevada logo
#8070%76%91-87
Feb 7Away
New Mexico logo
#5235%42%91-90
Feb 13Home
UNLV logo
#11082%85%83-86
Feb 18Away
Utah State logo
#3023%28%56-75
Feb 21Home
San Jose State logo
#22795%96%84-69
Feb 24Home
Wyoming logo
#10380%84%72-62
Feb 28Away
Fresno State logo
#13973%78%69-53
Mar 3Home
San Diego State logo
#4854%61%86-77
Mar 7Away
Colorado State logo
#9153%60%78-67
Mar 11Neutral
San Jose State logo
#22793%95%74-84

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Utah StateSaint Mary'sSan Diego StateNew MexicoNorth Carolina StateGrand CanyonUtah StateNevadaButlerColorado StateSan Diego StateNew MexicoWyomingGrand CanyonUNLVUSCNevadaWichita StateFresno StateUtah ValleyColorado StateWyomingUNLVTexas-Rio Grande ValleyDuquesneMontana StateSan Jose StateSan Jose StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games2-0, 2 left
Record:
19-11
#50 Fcst:
20.5-9.5
Act Win %:
63%
#50 Fcst %:
68%
TWV:
-1.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Boise State logo
05101520Chaminade Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 100%100%N20Hawaii Pacific Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Air Force Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 99%99%H1San Jose State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 95%95%H2San Jose State Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 88%88%A3Montana State Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 86%86%H4Duquesne Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 85%85%H5Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 84%84%H6Wyoming Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 80%80%H7Colorado State Location: Home 01/16 Win Probability: 75%75%H8Utah Valley Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 74%74%H9Fresno State Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 73%73%A10Wichita State Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 70%70%H11Nevada Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 70%70%H12Wyoming Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 60%60%A13New Mexico Location: Home 12/30 Win Probability: 59%59%H14San Diego State Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 54%54%H15Colorado State Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 53%53%A16Butler Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 50%50%A17New Mexico Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 35%35%A18Saint Mary's Location: Neutral 12/14 Win Probability: 26%26%N1919WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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