JThom Analytics Logo
Colorado State logo

Colorado State #91

Team Page

20-13
Overall
11-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mountain West logo

Team Schedule

Colorado State logo

Away

6-5
Utah State logo
#30
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Boise State logo
#57
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Fresno State logo
#139
San Jose State logo
#227
Loyola Chicago logo
#276
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

3-2
San Diego State logo
#48
South Florida logo
#49
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Wichita State logo
#82
Fresno State logo
#139

Home

11-5
Utah State logo
#30
San Diego State logo
#48
New Mexico logo
#52
Boise State logo
#57
Colorado logo
#75
Nevada logo
#80
Wyoming logo
#103
UNLV logo
#110
Fresno State logo
#139
Cal Poly logo
#220
San Jose State logo
#227
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Dartmouth logo
#272
Air Force logo
#350
Northern New Mexico logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Colorado State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Incarnate Word logo
#26794%98%98-64
Nov 9Home
Omaha logo
#25393%97%97-74
Nov 12Home
Cal Poly logo
#22090%96%93-79
Nov 16Away
Loyola Chicago logo
#27687%94%80-67
Nov 21Home
Denver logo
#24593%97%81-83
Nov 26Neutral
Virginia Tech logo
#5533%56%64-66
Nov 27Neutral
Wichita State logo
#8243%66%76-70
Nov 28Neutral
South Florida logo
#4928%50%83-68
Dec 6Home
Colorado logo
#7554%75%91-86
Dec 9Home
Dartmouth logo
#27294%98%76-55
Dec 14Home
Northern New Mexico logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 20Away
Utah State logo
#3013%28%58-100
Dec 30Home
Nevada logo
#8055%76%62-75
Jan 3Away
Grand Canyon logo
#5624%45%70-60
Jan 6Home
New Mexico logo
#5243%65%70-80
Jan 9Home
UNLV logo
#11070%85%70-62
Jan 13Away
Fresno State logo
#13959%78%69-79
Jan 16Away
Boise State logo
#5725%45%73-79
Jan 20Home
Air Force logo
#35098%99%81-52
Jan 23Home
Utah State logo
#3029%51%61-65
Jan 28Away
San Diego State logo
#4819%37%50-73
Jan 31Away
Wyoming logo
#10344%67%57-68
Feb 7Home
San Jose State logo
#22791%96%65-57
Feb 10Away
Air Force logo
#35096%98%91-74
Feb 14Home
Wyoming logo
#10368%84%79-68
Feb 18Away
UNLV logo
#11047%69%91-86
Feb 21Home
San Diego State logo
#4839%61%83-74
Feb 24Home
Fresno State logo
#13979%90%74-70
Feb 28Away
San Jose State logo
#22780%91%85-73
Mar 4Away
New Mexico logo
#5222%42%82-74
Mar 7Home
Boise State logo
#5747%68%67-78
Mar 11Neutral
Fresno State logo
#13971%86%67-63
Mar 12Neutral
San Diego State logo
#4827%49%62-71

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Utah StateSan Diego StateNew MexicoGrand CanyonBoise StateSan Diego StateSouth FloridaUtah StateVirginia TechSan Diego StateNew MexicoWichita StateWyomingBoise StateUNLVColoradoNevadaFresno StateWyomingUNLVFresno StateFresno StateSan Jose StateLoyola ChicagoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 1 left
Record:
20-12
#50 Fcst:
23.4-8.6
Act Win %:
63%
#50 Fcst %:
73%
TWV:
-3.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Colorado State logo
05101520Northern New Mexico Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Air Force Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 98%98%H1Air Force Location: Away 02/10 Win Probability: 96%96%A2Dartmouth Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Incarnate Word Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 94%94%H4Omaha Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 93%93%H5San Jose State Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 91%91%H6Cal Poly Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 90%90%H7Loyola Chicago Location: Away 11/16 Win Probability: 87%87%A8San Jose State Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 80%80%A9Fresno State Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 79%79%H10Fresno State Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 71%71%N11UNLV Location: Home 01/09 Win Probability: 70%70%H12Wyoming Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 68%68%H13Colorado Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 54%54%H14UNLV Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 47%47%A15Wichita State Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 43%43%N16San Diego State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 39%39%H17South Florida Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 28%28%N18Grand Canyon Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 24%24%A19New Mexico Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 22%22%A2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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