JThom Analytics Logo
Winthrop logo

Winthrop #155

Team Page

20-14
Overall
13-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big South logo

Team Schedule

Winthrop logo

Away

7-9
Arkansas logo
#16
Nebraska logo
#18
Texas Tech logo
#22
High Point logo
#89
George Mason logo
#102
LIU logo
#221
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Radford logo
#242
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Longwood logo
#259
Presbyterian logo
#271
North Dakota logo
#277
USC Upstate logo
#305
Jackson State logo
#337
Gardner-Webb logo
#363

Neutral

3-1
High Point logo
#89
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Presbyterian logo
#271

Home

10-1
High Point logo
#89
Mercer logo
#190
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Radford logo
#242
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Longwood logo
#259
Presbyterian logo
#271
USC Upstate logo
#305
South Carolina State logo
#353
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Bob Jones logo
Non D1
Clinton logo
Non D1
Toccoa Falls logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Winthrop logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
Queens (NC) logo
#19160%92%81-74
Nov 7Away
George Mason logo
#10222%66%90-96
Nov 11Away
Coastal Carolina logo
#24163%92%66-72
Nov 15Home
Mercer logo
#19071%94%105-69
Nov 18Away
Arkansas logo
#163%18%83-84
Nov 23Away
Jackson State logo
#33787%98%80-62
Nov 25Away
Nebraska logo
#183%19%73-80
Nov 29Home
South Carolina State logo
#35396%99%101-79
Dec 2Away
LIU logo
#22157%90%94-92
Dec 6Home
Coastal Carolina logo
#24182%97%84-88
Dec 9Home
Toccoa Falls logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Home
Bob Jones logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 18Away
North Dakota logo
#27771%94%88-90
Dec 21Home
Clinton logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 28Away
Texas Tech logo
#224%22%57-87
Dec 31Away
Longwood logo
#25967%93%70-82
Jan 3Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36398%100%88-77
Jan 7Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24482%97%81-77
Jan 10Away
USC Upstate logo
#30578%96%71-50
Jan 14Home
High Point logo
#8936%79%92-75
Jan 17Away
UNC Asheville logo
#23862%92%69-67
Jan 21Home
Radford logo
#24282%97%76-75
Jan 24Away
Presbyterian logo
#27170%94%82-72
Jan 31Home
UNC Asheville logo
#23881%97%84-71
Feb 4Away
Radford logo
#24263%92%80-78
Feb 7Home
Longwood logo
#25984%97%79-74
Feb 12Away
Gardner-Webb logo
#36394%99%103-85
Feb 19Home
USC Upstate logo
#30590%98%68-64
Feb 21Away
High Point logo
#8918%59%87-89
Feb 26Away
Charleston Southern logo
#24463%92%84-86
Feb 28Home
Presbyterian logo
#27186%98%74-70
Mar 6Neutral
Charleston Southern logo
#24474%95%86-81
Mar 7Neutral
Presbyterian logo
#27180%97%73-71
Mar 8Neutral
High Point logo
#8925%71%76-91

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArkansasNebraskaTexas TechHigh PointGeorge MasonHigh PointHigh PointLIUQueens (NC)UNC AshevilleCoastal CarolinaRadfordCharleston SouthernLongwoodPresbyterianMercerNorth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-1, 3 left
Record:
20-11
#50 Fcst:
26.2-4.8
Act Win %:
65%
#50 Fcst %:
85%
TWV:
-6.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Winthrop logo
05101520Toccoa Falls Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Bob Jones Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Clinton Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Gardner-Webb Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 98%98%H1South Carolina State Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 96%96%H2Gardner-Webb Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 94%94%A3USC Upstate Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 90%90%H4Jackson State Location: Away 11/23 Win Probability: 87%87%A5Presbyterian Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 86%86%H6Longwood Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 84%84%H7Charleston Southern Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 82%82%H8Radford Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 82%82%H9UNC Asheville Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 81%81%H10Presbyterian Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 80%80%N11USC Upstate Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 78%78%A12Charleston Southern Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 74%74%N13Mercer Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 71%71%H14Presbyterian Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 70%70%A15Radford Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 63%63%A16UNC Asheville Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 62%62%A17Queens (NC) Location: Neutral 11/03 Win Probability: 60%60%N18LIU Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 57%57%A19High Point Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 36%36%H2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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