Montana logo

Montana #185

Team Page

15-19
Overall
10-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Montana logo

Away

5-9
Louisville logo
#19
Texas A&M logo
#41
Stanford logo
#62
UNLV logo
#110
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Weber State logo
#209
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
North Dakota logo
#277
Northern Arizona logo
#325

Neutral

2-1
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153

Home

8-5
North Dakota State logo
#115
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Oakland logo
#177
Weber State logo
#209
Cal Poly logo
#220
Lamar logo
#246
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Montana Tech logo
Non D1
Northwest Indian logo
Non D1
Ottawa (AZ) logo
Non D1
Salish Kootenai logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Montana logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Northwest Indian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 5Home
Ottawa (AZ) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Stanford logo
#629%47%68-91
Nov 11Away
UNLV logo
#11019%69%102-93
Nov 14Home
Cal Poly logo
#22070%96%90-82
Nov 18Away
Texas A&M logo
#415%32%81-86
Nov 23Home
Lamar logo
#24677%97%63-68
Nov 25Home
Oakland logo
#17760%93%87-95
Dec 3Home
North Dakota State logo
#11540%86%72-81
Dec 6Away
North Dakota logo
#27764%94%79-75
Dec 10Home
Salish Kootenai logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 17Home
Montana Tech logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 20Away
Louisville logo
#192%19%54-94
Jan 1Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32590%99%78-64
Jan 3Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13850%90%88-79
Jan 8Away
Idaho logo
#14528%79%79-73
Jan 10Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16433%83%65-66
Jan 17Away
Montana State logo
#13325%76%67-76
Jan 19Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32578%97%98-72
Jan 22Home
Weber State logo
#20968%95%81-65
Jan 24Home
Idaho State logo
#26881%98%69-60
Jan 29Away
Portland State logo
#15330%80%64-60
Jan 31Away
Sacramento State logo
#27462%94%79-86
Feb 5Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16457%93%74-82
Feb 7Home
Idaho logo
#14551%91%73-68
Feb 14Home
Montana State logo
#13347%89%71-82
Feb 19Away
Idaho State logo
#26861%94%69-73
Feb 21Away
Weber State logo
#20944%88%72-92
Feb 26Home
Sacramento State logo
#27482%98%81-73
Feb 28Home
Portland State logo
#15354%92%74-68
Mar 2Away
Northern Colorado logo
#13827%78%57-85
Mar 9Neutral
Northern Colorado logo
#13837%86%95-89
Mar 10Neutral
Portland State logo
#15341%88%75-72
Mar 11Neutral
Idaho logo
#14539%87%66-77

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%LouisvilleTexas A&MStanfordUNLVMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonNorthern ColoradoNorth Dakota StateIdahoPortland StateWeber StateMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonOaklandIdaho StateSacramento StateNorth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-1, 4 left
Record:
15-15
#50 Fcst:
25.1-4.9
Act Win %:
50%
#50 Fcst %:
84%
TWV:
-10.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Montana logo
051015Northwest Indian Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Ottawa (AZ) Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Salish Kootenai Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Montana Tech Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Northern Arizona Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 90%90%H1Sacramento State Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 82%82%H2Idaho State Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 81%81%H3Northern Arizona Location: Away 01/19 Win Probability: 78%78%A4Cal Poly Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 70%70%H5Weber State Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 68%68%H6North Dakota Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 64%64%A7Portland State Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 54%54%H8Idaho Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 51%51%H9Northern Colorado Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 50%50%H10Portland State Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 41%41%N11Northern Colorado Location: Neutral 03/09 Win Probability: 37%37%N12Portland State Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 30%30%A13Idaho Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 28%28%A14UNLV Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 19%19%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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