JThom Analytics Logo
Idaho State logo

Idaho State #268

Team Page

10-23
Overall
5-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Idaho State logo

Away

3-12
Santa Clara logo
#34
San Diego State logo
#48
Utah Valley logo
#88
Seattle logo
#116
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
San Diego logo
#226
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Kansas City logo
#362

Neutral

2-2
Sam Houston logo
#109
Portland State logo
#153
CSUN logo
#178
Northern Arizona logo
#325

Home

5-6
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
UC Davis logo
#173
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Denver logo
#245
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Justice College logo
Non D1
Montana-Western logo
Non D1
Park-Gilbert logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Idaho State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Park-Gilbert logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
San Diego logo
#22629%91%71-68
Nov 9Away
San Diego State logo
#482%37%57-73
Nov 15Away
Seattle logo
#1169%70%74-83
Nov 18Away
Santa Clara logo
#342%30%55-64
Nov 21Home
Justice College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 26Neutral
Sam Houston logo
#10912%79%81-84
Nov 28Neutral
CSUN logo
#17826%91%82-50
Dec 3Away
Kansas City logo
#36281%99%68-59
Dec 6Home
Denver logo
#24556%97%93-79
Dec 10Away
Utah Valley logo
#886%59%69-73
Dec 18Home
Montana-Western logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 21Home
UC Davis logo
#17336%93%83-93
Jan 1Home
Sacramento State logo
#27464%98%97-84
Jan 3Home
Portland State logo
#15331%92%87-93
Jan 8Away
Northern Colorado logo
#13813%78%72-85
Jan 10Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32558%97%81-79
Jan 15Home
Idaho logo
#14529%91%76-68
Jan 17Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16434%93%66-84
Jan 22Away
Montana State logo
#13311%76%62-74
Jan 24Away
Montana logo
#18519%85%60-69
Jan 31Away
Weber State logo
#20924%88%79-81
Feb 2Away
Portland State logo
#15315%80%65-88
Feb 5Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32578%99%73-79
Feb 7Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13828%90%61-69
Feb 12Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16416%83%75-88
Feb 14Away
Idaho logo
#14514%79%69-99
Feb 19Home
Montana logo
#18539%94%73-69
Feb 21Home
Montana State logo
#13326%89%91-76
Feb 28Home
Weber State logo
#20945%95%73-83
Mar 2Away
Sacramento State logo
#27440%94%65-83
Mar 7Neutral
Northern Arizona logo
#32570%98%73-65
Mar 8Neutral
Portland State logo
#15321%88%78-85

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Santa ClaraSan Diego StateUtah ValleySeattleMontana StateNorthern ColoradoSam HoustonIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonMontanaPortland StateWeber StateMontana StateNorthern ColoradoSan DiegoCSUNIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonUC DavisMontanaSacramento StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-2, 3 left
Record:
10-20
#50 Fcst:
25.3-4.7
Act Win %:
33%
#50 Fcst %:
84%
TWV:
-15.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Idaho State logo
0510Park-Gilbert Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Justice College Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Montana-Western Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Kansas City Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 81%81%A1Northern Arizona Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 70%70%N2Sacramento State Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 64%64%H3Northern Arizona Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 58%58%A4Denver Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 56%56%H5Montana Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 39%39%H6Idaho Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 29%29%H7San Diego Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 29%29%A8CSUN Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 26%26%N9Montana State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 26%26%H1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
10100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...