JThom Analytics Logo
USC logo

USC #86

Team Page

17-15
Overall
7-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Ten logo

Team Schedule

USC logo

Away

5-6
Michigan logo
#2
Michigan State logo
#11
Wisconsin logo
#21
Ohio State logo
#23
Iowa logo
#25
UCLA logo
#26
Washington logo
#51
Minnesota logo
#72
Oregon logo
#96
Penn State logo
#140
San Diego logo
#226

Neutral

4-1
Washington logo
#51
Seton Hall logo
#53
Boise State logo
#57
Arizona State logo
#71
Illinois State logo
#101

Home

8-7
Illinois logo
#6
Purdue logo
#8
Nebraska logo
#18
UCLA logo
#26
Indiana logo
#44
Washington logo
#51
Northwestern logo
#60
Oregon logo
#96
Maryland logo
#112
Rutgers logo
#118
Troy logo
#134
Washington State logo
#136
Cal Poly logo
#220
Manhattan logo
#329
UTSA logo
#340
California-Santa Cruz logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

USC logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Cal Poly logo
#22091%96%94-64
Nov 9Home
Manhattan logo
#32998%99%114-83
Nov 14Neutral
Illinois State logo
#10160%77%87-67
Nov 20Home
Troy logo
#13480%90%107-106
Nov 24Neutral
Boise State logo
#5737%57%70-67
Nov 25Neutral
Seton Hall logo
#5335%55%83-81
Nov 26Neutral
Arizona State logo
#7144%63%88-75
Dec 2Away
Oregon logo
#9644%63%82-77
Dec 6Home
Washington logo
#5146%65%76-84
Dec 9Away
San Diego logo
#22682%91%94-81
Dec 14Home
Washington State logo
#13680%90%68-61
Dec 17Home
UTSA logo
#34098%99%97-70
Dec 21Home
California-Santa Cruz logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 2Away
Michigan logo
#23%7%66-96
Jan 5Away
Michigan State logo
#117%15%51-80
Jan 9Away
Minnesota logo
#7233%52%70-69
Jan 13Home
Maryland logo
#11274%86%88-71
Jan 17Home
Purdue logo
#814%27%64-69
Jan 21Home
Northwestern logo
#6052%70%68-74
Jan 25Away
Wisconsin logo
#2111%21%73-71
Jan 28Away
Iowa logo
#2513%24%72-73
Jan 31Home
Rutgers logo
#11875%87%78-75
Feb 3Home
Indiana logo
#4438%58%81-75
Feb 8Away
Penn State logo
#14062%78%77-75
Feb 11Away
Ohio State logo
#2312%23%82-89
Feb 18Home
Illinois logo
#613%24%65-101
Feb 21Home
Oregon logo
#9668%82%70-71
Feb 24Away
UCLA logo
#2613%24%62-81
Feb 28Home
Nebraska logo
#1822%38%67-82
Mar 4Away
Washington logo
#5124%41%72-91
Mar 7Home
UCLA logo
#2628%46%68-89
Mar 11Neutral
Washington logo
#5133%53%79-83

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MichiganMichigan StateWisconsinOhio StateIowaIllinoisUCLAPurdueNebraskaWashingtonUCLAMinnesotaWashingtonSeton HallBoise StateIndianaOregonArizona StateWashingtonNorthwesternIllinois StatePenn StateOregonMarylandRutgersTroyWashington StateSan DiegoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games3-0, 1 left
Record:
17-14
#50 Fcst:
18.0-13.0
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
58%
TWV:
-1.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

USC logo
051015California-Santa Cruz Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H18UTSA Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 98%98%H1Manhattan Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 98%98%H2Cal Poly Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 91%91%H3San Diego Location: Away 12/09 Win Probability: 82%82%A4Washington State Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 80%80%H5Troy Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 80%80%H6Rutgers Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 75%75%H7Maryland Location: Home 01/13 Win Probability: 74%74%H8Penn State Location: Away 02/08 Win Probability: 62%62%A9Illinois State Location: Neutral 11/14 Win Probability: 60%60%N10Oregon Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 44%44%A11Arizona State Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 44%44%N12Indiana Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 38%38%H13Boise State Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 37%37%N14Seton Hall Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 35%35%N15Minnesota Location: Away 01/09 Win Probability: 33%33%A16Wisconsin Location: Away 01/25 Win Probability: 11%11%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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