JThom Analytics Logo
Tulsa logo

Tulsa #64

Team Page

24-9
Overall
13-5
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
American Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Tulsa logo

Away

8-4
South Florida logo
#49
Wichita State logo
#82
Kansas State logo
#95
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
UAB logo
#128
North Texas logo
#137
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Charlotte logo
#176
Tulane logo
#201
Rice logo
#222
East Carolina logo
#256
Oral Roberts logo
#311

Neutral

5-1
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Wichita State logo
#82
North Texas logo
#137
Rhode Island logo
#144
New Mexico State logo
#187
San Jose State logo
#227

Home

11-2
South Florida logo
#49
Wichita State logo
#82
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
North Texas logo
#137
Temple logo
#147
Austin Peay logo
#166
Charlotte logo
#176
Missouri State logo
#199
Rice logo
#222
Denver logo
#245
UAPB logo
#314
UTSA logo
#340
Manhattan Christian logo
Non D1
Oklahoma Christian logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Tulsa logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Oklahoma Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Neutral
Rhode Island logo
#14481%87%82-65
Nov 12Away
Oral Roberts logo
#31194%96%88-87
Nov 17Away
Kansas State logo
#9553%63%83-84
Nov 21Home
Austin Peay logo
#16689%93%84-75
Nov 25Neutral
San Jose State logo
#22792%95%81-51
Nov 26Neutral
Northern Iowa logo
#6652%62%63-60
Dec 2Home
Manhattan Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Home
Missouri State logo
#19992%95%98-74
Dec 10Home
UAPB logo
#31498%99%117-84
Dec 13Neutral
New Mexico State logo
#18787%91%83-70
Dec 19Away
Western Kentucky logo
#16376%82%82-81
Dec 22Home
Denver logo
#24595%97%90-85
Dec 31Home
Rice logo
#22294%96%97-48
Jan 4Away
North Texas logo
#13769%77%67-72
Jan 10Home
South Florida logo
#4952%62%78-93
Jan 14Away
Charlotte logo
#17678%84%86-74
Jan 18Away
UAB logo
#12866%75%99-77
Jan 21Home
Memphis logo
#13184%89%83-66
Jan 24Away
Rice logo
#22286%90%87-81
Jan 28Home
North Texas logo
#13786%90%82-66
Feb 1Home
Wichita State logo
#8267%76%93-83
Feb 4Away
Florida Atlantic logo
#12765%74%78-76
Feb 8Away
South Florida logo
#4929%38%74-80
Feb 11Home
UAB logo
#12884%89%63-68
Feb 14Away
Wichita State logo
#8244%54%77-81
Feb 18Home
Charlotte logo
#17690%93%79-74
Feb 22Home
UTSA logo
#34099%99%100-74
Feb 25Away
Tulane logo
#20182%87%90-56
Mar 5Away
East Carolina logo
#25689%93%93-66
Mar 8Home
Temple logo
#14787%91%78-76
Mar 13Neutral
North Texas logo
#13779%85%90-84
Mar 14Neutral
Wichita State logo
#8256%66%68-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%South FloridaWichita StateSouth FloridaNorthern IowaKansas StateWichita StateFlorida AtlanticUABWichita StateNorth TexasWestern KentuckyCharlotteNorth TexasRhode IslandTulaneUABMemphisNorth TexasRiceTempleNew Mexico StateEast CarolinaAustin PeayCharlotteSan Jose StateMissouri StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-0, 2 left
Record:
24-7
#50 Fcst:
25.7-5.3
Act Win %:
77%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-1.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Tulsa logo
0510152025Oklahoma Christian Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Manhattan Christian Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 100%100%H26UTSA Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 99%99%H1UAPB Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 98%98%H2Denver Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 95%95%H3Oral Roberts Location: Away 11/12 Win Probability: 94%94%A4Rice Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 94%94%H5Missouri State Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 92%92%H6San Jose State Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 92%92%N7Charlotte Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 90%90%H8Austin Peay Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 89%89%H9East Carolina Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 89%89%A10Temple Location: Home 03/08 Win Probability: 87%87%H11New Mexico State Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 87%87%N12Rice Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 86%86%A13North Texas Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 86%86%H14Memphis Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 84%84%H15Tulane Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 82%82%A16Rhode Island Location: Neutral 11/07 Win Probability: 81%81%N17North Texas Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 79%79%N18Charlotte Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 78%78%A19Western Kentucky Location: Away 12/19 Win Probability: 76%76%A20Wichita State Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 67%67%H21UAB Location: Away 01/18 Win Probability: 66%66%A22Florida Atlantic Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 65%65%A23Northern Iowa Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 52%52%N2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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