JThom Analytics Logo
Vanderbilt logo

Vanderbilt #12

Team Page

26-8
Overall
11-7
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
3.0
Avg Seed
Southeastern logo

Team Schedule

Vanderbilt logo

Away

8-4
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Kentucky logo
#27
Auburn logo
#39
Texas logo
#42
Missouri logo
#50
UCF logo
#54
Ole Miss logo
#61
Wake Forest logo
#67
Mississippi State logo
#94
South Carolina logo
#98
Memphis logo
#131

Neutral

5-1
Florida logo
#4
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Saint Mary's logo
#24
VCU logo
#46
Western Kentucky logo
#163

Home

13-3
Florida logo
#4
Tennessee logo
#15
Alabama logo
#17
Kentucky logo
#27
Georgia logo
#31
Oklahoma logo
#37
Texas A&M logo
#41
SMU logo
#43
Ole Miss logo
#61
LSU logo
#68
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Lipscomb logo
#218
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Texas Southern logo
#303
UAPB logo
#314
New Haven logo
#330

Schedule Chart

Vanderbilt logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Lipscomb logo
#21899%96%105-61
Nov 8Away
UCF logo
#5472%43%105-93
Nov 12Home
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29499%98%92-62
Nov 15Home
UAPB logo
#314100%99%104-75
Nov 20Home
Texas Southern logo
#303100%98%109-74
Nov 26Neutral
Western Kentucky logo
#16397%89%83-78
Nov 27Neutral
VCU logo
#4676%47%89-74
Nov 28Neutral
Saint Mary's logo
#2463%32%96-71
Dec 3Home
SMU logo
#4381%56%88-69
Dec 13Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15697%92%83-72
Dec 17Away
Memphis logo
#13191%76%77-70
Dec 21Away
Wake Forest logo
#6777%50%98-67
Dec 29Home
New Haven logo
#330100%99%96-53
Jan 3Away
South Carolina logo
#9886%64%83-71
Jan 7Home
Alabama logo
#1767%38%96-90
Jan 10Home
LSU logo
#6890%73%84-73
Jan 14Away
Texas logo
#4261%32%64-80
Jan 17Home
Florida logo
#447%21%94-98
Jan 20Away
Arkansas logo
#1643%18%68-93
Jan 24Away
Mississippi State logo
#9485%63%88-56
Jan 27Home
Kentucky logo
#2775%47%80-55
Jan 31Away
Ole Miss logo
#6175%47%71-68
Feb 7Home
Oklahoma logo
#3780%55%91-92
Feb 10Away
Auburn logo
#3961%31%84-76
Feb 14Home
Texas A&M logo
#4181%55%82-69
Feb 18Away
Missouri logo
#5067%38%80-81
Feb 21Home
Tennessee logo
#1566%37%65-69
Feb 25Home
Georgia logo
#3178%51%88-80
Feb 28Away
Kentucky logo
#2753%25%77-91
Mar 3Home
Ole Miss logo
#6189%70%89-86
Mar 7Away
Tennessee logo
#1542%18%86-82
Mar 13Neutral
Tennessee logo
#1554%25%75-68
Mar 14Neutral
Florida logo
#435%13%91-74
Mar 15Neutral
Arkansas logo
#1655%26%75-86

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaTennesseeArkansasFloridaKentuckyTennesseeArkansasAuburnTexasSaint Mary'sTennesseeMissouriAlabamaUCFOle MissKentuckyVCUWake ForestGeorgiaOklahomaTexas A&MSMUMississippi StateSouth CarolinaOle MissLSUMemphisWestern KentuckyCentral ArkansasDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-0, 0 left
Record:
26-8
#50 Fcst:
18.2-15.8
Act Win %:
76%
#50 Fcst %:
54%
TWV:
+7.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 29 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Vanderbilt logo
0510152025New Haven Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H1UAPB Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Texas Southern Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H3Eastern Kentucky Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Lipscomb Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H5Central Arkansas Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Western Kentucky Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 97%97%N7Memphis Location: Away 12/17 Win Probability: 91%91%A8LSU Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 90%90%H9Ole Miss Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 89%89%H10South Carolina Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 86%86%A11Mississippi State Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 85%85%A12SMU Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 81%81%H13Texas A&M Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 81%81%H14Georgia Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 78%78%H15Wake Forest Location: Away 12/21 Win Probability: 77%77%A16VCU Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 76%76%N17Kentucky Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 75%75%H18Ole Miss Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 75%75%A19UCF Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 72%72%A20Alabama Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 67%67%H21Saint Mary's Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 63%63%N22Auburn Location: Away 02/10 Win Probability: 61%61%A23Tennessee Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 54%54%N24Tennessee Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 42%42%A25Florida Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 35%35%N2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
3In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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