Alabama State logo

Alabama State #317

Team Page

9-23
Overall
6-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southwestern Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Alabama State logo

Away

3-15
Cincinnati logo
#33
Missouri logo
#50
New Mexico logo
#52
Florida State logo
#58
Colorado logo
#75
Mississippi State logo
#94
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
UT Martin logo
#235
Southern logo
#265
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Grambling State logo
#296
Texas Southern logo
#303
Florida A&M logo
#307
Alabama A&M logo
#308
UAPB logo
#314
Air Force logo
#350
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365

Neutral

1-3
SIUE logo
#249
Alabama A&M logo
#308
IU Indy logo
#323
Alcorn State logo
#346

Home

4-4
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Southern logo
#265
Grambling State logo
#296
Florida A&M logo
#307
UAPB logo
#314
Jackson State logo
#337
Alcorn State logo
#346
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Alabama State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 7Away
Florida State logo
#582%45%64-101
Nov 11Away
UAB logo
#1286%75%77-74
Nov 14Home
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 17Away
Colorado logo
#752%53%66-94
Nov 19Away
Air Force logo
#35056%98%64-66
Nov 21Neutral
IU Indy logo
#32353%98%101-80
Nov 23Neutral
SIUE logo
#24929%96%68-83
Nov 26Away
New Mexico logo
#522%42%87-93
Dec 7Away
UT Martin logo
#23519%92%64-74
Dec 11Away
Missouri logo
#501%38%77-85
Dec 17Away
Cincinnati logo
#331%30%51-88
Dec 22Away
Memphis logo
#1316%76%67-88
Dec 29Away
Mississippi State logo
#944%63%56-94
Jan 3Away
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36577%99%89-69
Jan 5Away
UAPB logo
#31436%96%79-90
Jan 10Home
Jackson State logo
#33772%99%64-75
Jan 12Home
Alcorn State logo
#34676%99%81-66
Jan 19Neutral
Alabama A&M logo
#30846%98%69-73
Jan 24Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28830%95%
Jan 24Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28830%95%
Jan 24Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28830%95%
Jan 24Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28830%95%
Jan 27Away
Texas Southern logo
#30334%96%64-96
Jan 31Home
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22937%96%54-69
Feb 2Home
Florida A&M logo
#30758%98%79-66
Feb 7Away
Grambling State logo
#29632%95%47-57
Feb 9Away
Southern logo
#26524%94%68-69
Feb 14Home
UAPB logo
#31460%99%79-61
Feb 16Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36590%100%92-55
Feb 19Away
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22918%91%71-82
Feb 21Away
Florida A&M logo
#30734%96%63-76
Feb 28Away
Alabama A&M logo
#30834%96%89-88
Mar 3Home
Southern logo
#26546%98%64-71
Mar 5Home
Grambling State logo
#29655%98%63-65
Mar 9Neutral
Alcorn State logo
#34667%99%65-77

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%CincinnatiMissouriNew MexicoFlorida StateColoradoMississippi StateUABMemphisBethune-CookmanUT MartinSouthernDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-12, 5 left
Record:
8-22
#50 Fcst:
25.5-4.5
Act Win %:
27%
#50 Fcst %:
85%
TWV:
-17.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 11 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Alabama State logo
0510VU of Lynchburg Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H9Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 30%30%A10Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 30%30%A11Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 30%30%A12Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 30%30%A13Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 90%90%H1Mississippi Valley State Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 77%77%A2Alcorn State Location: Home 01/12 Win Probability: 76%76%H3UAPB Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 60%60%H4Florida A&M Location: Home 02/02 Win Probability: 58%58%H5IU Indy Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 53%53%N6Alabama A&M Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 34%34%A7UAB Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 6%6%A88WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
9100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Projected Wins History

Projected Standings History

First Place Probability History

NCAA Tournament Bid History

NCAA Tournament Progression History