JThom Analytics Logo
Alabama A&M logo

Alabama A&M #308

Team Page

15-18
Overall
9-8
Conference
13%
NCAA Bid
16.0
Avg Seed
Southwestern Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Alabama A&M logo

Away

3-8
Clemson logo
#32
Indiana logo
#44
Lipscomb logo
#218
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Southern logo
#265
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Grambling State logo
#296
Texas Southern logo
#303
Florida A&M logo
#307
UAPB logo
#314
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365

Neutral

2-1
Ole Miss logo
#61
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Texas Southern logo
#303
Alabama State logo
#317

Home

9-5
Tennessee State logo
#194
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Lindenwood logo
#264
Southern logo
#265
Chattanooga logo
#290
Grambling State logo
#296
Florida A&M logo
#307
UAPB logo
#314
Alabama State logo
#317
Jackson State logo
#337
North Alabama logo
#341
Alcorn State logo
#346
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365
Arkansas Baptist logo
Non D1
Blue Mountain College logo
Non D1
Fisk logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Alabama A&M logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Blue Mountain College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 5Away
Indiana logo
#441%34%51-98
Nov 13Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24444%97%68-64
Nov 16Home
Lindenwood logo
#26449%97%74-65
Nov 28Away
Clemson logo
#321%29%56-92
Nov 30Away
Coastal Carolina logo
#24122%92%60-67
Dec 3Home
Tennessee State logo
#19430%94%80-53
Dec 7Away
Lipscomb logo
#21818%89%58-92
Dec 13Home
Arkansas Baptist logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 15Home
North Alabama logo
#34176%99%68-60
Dec 17Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#613%60%66-80
Dec 21Home
Chattanooga logo
#29057%98%66-73
Dec 30Home
Fisk logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 3Away
UAPB logo
#31440%96%83-95
Jan 5Away
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36580%99%71-51
Jan 10Home
Alcorn State logo
#34679%99%62-64
Jan 12Home
Jackson State logo
#33775%99%100-91
Jan 19Neutral
Alabama State logo
#31754%98%73-69
Jan 24Away
Texas Southern logo
#30337%96%74-89
Jan 27Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28833%95%
Jan 27Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28833%95%
Jan 27Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28833%95%
Jan 27Away
Prairie View A&M logo
#28833%95%
Jan 31Home
Florida A&M logo
#30762%98%72-65
Feb 2Home
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22941%96%62-80
Feb 7Away
Southern logo
#26527%94%68-81
Feb 9Away
Grambling State logo
#29635%95%66-58
Feb 14Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36591%100%72-65
Feb 16Home
UAPB logo
#31464%99%82-70
Feb 19Away
Florida A&M logo
#30738%96%63-61
Feb 21Away
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22921%91%76-85
Feb 28Home
Alabama State logo
#31766%99%88-89
Mar 3Home
Grambling State logo
#29659%98%77-63
Mar 5Home
Southern logo
#26550%98%85-88
Mar 12Neutral
Texas Southern logo
#30349%98%85-74
Mar 13Neutral
Prairie View A&M logo
#28844%97%
Mar 13Neutral
Prairie View A&M logo
#28844%97%

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ClemsonIndianaOle MissLipscombBethune-CookmanCoastal CarolinaSouthernTennessee StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-7, 9 left
Record:
14-14
#50 Fcst:
25.4-2.6
Act Win %:
50%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-11.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 8 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Alabama A&M logo
05101520Blue Mountain College Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Arkansas Baptist Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Fisk Location: Home 12/30 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Prairie View A&M Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 44%44%N18Prairie View A&M Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 44%44%N19Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 33%33%A20Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 33%33%A21Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 33%33%A22Prairie View A&M Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 33%33%A23Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Mississippi Valley State Location: Away 01/05 Win Probability: 80%80%A2North Alabama Location: Home 12/15 Win Probability: 76%76%H3Jackson State Location: Home 01/12 Win Probability: 75%75%H4UAPB Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 64%64%H5Florida A&M Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 62%62%H6Grambling State Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 59%59%H7Alabama State Location: Neutral 01/19 Win Probability: 54%54%N8Lindenwood Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 49%49%H9Texas Southern Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 49%49%N10Charleston Southern Location: Home 11/13 Win Probability: 44%44%H11Florida A&M Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 38%38%A12Grambling State Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 35%35%A13Tennessee State Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 30%30%H1414WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
16In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%100%13%
16100%21%
15100%66%
Total13%13%87%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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