JThom Analytics Logo
Michigan logo

Michigan #2

Team Page

31-3
Overall
19-1
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
1.0
Avg Seed
Big Ten logo

Team Schedule

Michigan logo

Away

11-0
Illinois logo
#6
Purdue logo
#8
Michigan State logo
#11
Ohio State logo
#23
Iowa logo
#25
TCU logo
#45
Washington logo
#51
Northwestern logo
#60
Oregon logo
#96
Maryland logo
#112
Penn State logo
#140

Neutral

6-2
Duke logo
#1
Purdue logo
#8
Gonzaga logo
#10
Wisconsin logo
#21
Ohio State logo
#23
Auburn logo
#39
San Diego State logo
#48
Wake Forest logo
#67

Home

14-1
Michigan State logo
#11
Nebraska logo
#18
Wisconsin logo
#21
Ohio State logo
#23
UCLA logo
#26
Villanova logo
#40
Indiana logo
#44
McNeese State logo
#65
Minnesota logo
#72
USC logo
#86
Rutgers logo
#118
Penn State logo
#140
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
Oakland logo
#177
La Salle logo
#233

Schedule Chart

Michigan logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Oakland logo
#17799%93%121-78
Nov 11Neutral
Wake Forest logo
#6794%63%85-84
Nov 14Away
TCU logo
#4582%35%67-63
Nov 19Home
Middle Tennessee logo
#16999%93%86-61
Nov 24Neutral
San Diego State logo
#4890%49%94-54
Nov 25Neutral
Auburn logo
#3987%43%102-72
Nov 26Neutral
Gonzaga logo
#1071%21%101-61
Dec 6Home
Rutgers logo
#11898%87%101-60
Dec 9Home
Villanova logo
#4091%55%89-61
Dec 13Away
Maryland logo
#11295%70%101-83
Dec 21Home
La Salle logo
#233100%97%102-50
Dec 29Home
McNeese State logo
#6596%72%112-71
Jan 2Home
USC logo
#8697%78%96-66
Jan 6Away
Penn State logo
#14097%78%74-72
Jan 10Home
Wisconsin logo
#2186%41%88-91
Jan 14Away
Washington logo
#5186%41%82-72
Jan 17Away
Oregon logo
#9694%63%81-71
Jan 20Home
Indiana logo
#4492%58%86-72
Jan 23Home
Ohio State logo
#2387%44%74-62
Jan 27Home
Nebraska logo
#1884%38%75-72
Jan 30Away
Michigan State logo
#1160%15%83-71
Feb 5Home
Penn State logo
#14099%90%110-69
Feb 8Away
Ohio State logo
#2372%23%82-61
Feb 11Away
Northwestern logo
#6088%47%87-75
Feb 14Home
UCLA logo
#2688%46%86-56
Feb 17Away
Purdue logo
#854%12%91-80
Feb 21Neutral
Duke logo
#150%10%63-68
Feb 24Home
Minnesota logo
#7296%74%77-67
Feb 27Away
Illinois logo
#651%11%84-70
Mar 5Away
Iowa logo
#2573%24%71-68
Mar 8Home
Michigan State logo
#1180%31%90-80
Mar 13Neutral
Ohio State logo
#2382%32%71-67
Mar 14Neutral
Wisconsin logo
#2179%29%68-65
Mar 15Neutral
Purdue logo
#866%17%72-80

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeIllinoisPurdueMichigan StatePurdueGonzagaOhio StateIowaWisconsinMichigan StateOhio StateTCUNebraskaWashingtonWisconsinAuburnOhio StateUCLANorthwesternSan Diego StateVillanovaIndianaWake ForestOregonMarylandMcNeese StateMinnesotaUSCPenn StateRutgersPenn StateMiddle TennesseeOaklandDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games1-0, 0 left
Record:
31-3
#50 Fcst:
16.8-17.2
Act Win %:
91%
#50 Fcst %:
49%
TWV:
+14.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 33 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Michigan logo
051015202530La Salle Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Oakland Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Middle Tennessee Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Penn State Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Rutgers Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 98%98%H5Penn State Location: Away 01/06 Win Probability: 97%97%A6USC Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Minnesota Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 96%96%H8McNeese State Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 96%96%H9Maryland Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 95%95%A10Wake Forest Location: Neutral 11/11 Win Probability: 94%94%N11Oregon Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 94%94%A12Indiana Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 92%92%H13Villanova Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 91%91%H14San Diego State Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 90%90%N15Northwestern Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 88%88%A16UCLA Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 88%88%H17Auburn Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 87%87%N18Ohio State Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 87%87%H19Washington Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 86%86%A20Nebraska Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 84%84%H21TCU Location: Away 11/14 Win Probability: 82%82%A22Ohio State Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 82%82%N23Michigan State Location: Home 03/08 Win Probability: 80%80%H24Wisconsin Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 79%79%N25Iowa Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 73%73%A26Ohio State Location: Away 02/08 Win Probability: 72%72%A27Gonzaga Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 71%71%N28Michigan State Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 60%60%A29Purdue Location: Away 02/17 Win Probability: 54%54%A30Illinois Location: Away 02/27 Win Probability: 51%51%A3131WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
1In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
31100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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