JThom Analytics Logo
Illinois logo

Illinois #6

Team Page

24-8
Overall
15-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
4.0
Avg Seed
Big Ten logo

Team Schedule

Illinois logo

Away

8-2
Purdue logo
#8
Michigan State logo
#11
Nebraska logo
#18
Ohio State logo
#23
Iowa logo
#25
UCLA logo
#26
Northwestern logo
#60
USC logo
#86
Maryland logo
#112
Penn State logo
#140

Neutral

2-3
Connecticut logo
#9
Tennessee logo
#15
Alabama logo
#17
Wisconsin logo
#21
Missouri logo
#50

Home

14-3
Michigan logo
#2
Nebraska logo
#18
Wisconsin logo
#21
Texas Tech logo
#22
Indiana logo
#44
Washington logo
#51
Northwestern logo
#60
Minnesota logo
#72
Oregon logo
#96
Maryland logo
#112
Rutgers logo
#118
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
LIU logo
#221
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#239
Colgate logo
#240
Southern logo
#265
Jackson State logo
#337

Schedule Chart

Illinois logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Jackson State logo
#337100%99%113-55
Nov 7Home
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#23999%97%113-70
Nov 11Home
Texas Tech logo
#2279%43%81-77
Nov 14Home
Colgate logo
#24099%97%84-65
Nov 19Neutral
Alabama logo
#1766%27%86-90
Nov 22Home
LIU logo
#22199%96%98-58
Nov 24Home
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12197%88%87-73
Nov 28Neutral
Connecticut logo
#957%20%61-74
Dec 6Neutral
Tennessee logo
#1565%25%75-62
Dec 9Away
Ohio State logo
#2361%23%88-80
Dec 13Home
Nebraska logo
#1876%38%80-83
Dec 22Neutral
Missouri logo
#5085%50%91-48
Dec 29Home
Southern logo
#265100%98%90-55
Jan 3Away
Penn State logo
#14095%78%73-65
Jan 8Home
Rutgers logo
#11897%87%81-55
Jan 11Away
Iowa logo
#2562%24%75-69
Jan 14Away
Northwestern logo
#6082%47%79-68
Jan 17Home
Minnesota logo
#7294%74%77-67
Jan 21Home
Maryland logo
#11297%86%89-70
Jan 24Away
Purdue logo
#841%12%88-82
Jan 29Home
Washington logo
#5190%65%75-66
Feb 1Away
Nebraska logo
#1854%19%78-69
Feb 4Home
Northwestern logo
#6092%70%84-44
Feb 7Away
Michigan State logo
#1147%15%82-85
Feb 10Home
Wisconsin logo
#2178%41%90-92
Feb 15Home
Indiana logo
#4487%58%71-51
Feb 18Away
USC logo
#8687%57%101-65
Feb 21Away
UCLA logo
#2662%24%94-95
Feb 27Home
Michigan logo
#249%16%70-84
Mar 3Home
Oregon logo
#9696%82%80-54
Mar 8Away
Maryland logo
#11292%70%78-72
Mar 13Neutral
Wisconsin logo
#2169%29%88-91

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%PurdueMichigan StateMichiganNebraskaConnecticutOhio StateIowaUCLATennesseeAlabamaWisconsinNebraskaWisconsinTexas TechNorthwesternMissouriUSCIndianaWashingtonMarylandNorthwesternMinnesotaPenn StateOregonMarylandRutgersTexas-Rio Grande ValleyDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-0, 0 left
Record:
24-8
#50 Fcst:
17.5-14.5
Act Win %:
75%
#50 Fcst %:
55%
TWV:
+6.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 27 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Illinois logo
05101520Jackson State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Southern Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Colgate Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Florida Gulf Coast Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 99%99%H4LIU Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 99%99%H5Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Rutgers Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Maryland Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 97%97%H8Oregon Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 96%96%H9Penn State Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 95%95%A10Minnesota Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 94%94%H11Northwestern Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H12Maryland Location: Away 03/08 Win Probability: 92%92%A13Washington Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 90%90%H14Indiana Location: Home 02/15 Win Probability: 87%87%H15USC Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 87%87%A16Missouri Location: Neutral 12/22 Win Probability: 85%85%N17Northwestern Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 82%82%A18Texas Tech Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 79%79%H19Tennessee Location: Neutral 12/06 Win Probability: 65%65%N20Iowa Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 62%62%A21Ohio State Location: Away 12/09 Win Probability: 61%61%A22Nebraska Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 54%54%A23Purdue Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 41%41%A2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
4In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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