JThom Analytics Logo
Villanova logo

Villanova #40

Team Page

24-8
Overall
15-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
7.0
Avg Seed
Big East logo

Team Schedule

Villanova logo

Away

9-3
Michigan logo
#2
Connecticut logo
#9
St. John's logo
#13
Seton Hall logo
#53
Providence logo
#70
Creighton logo
#77
Marquette logo
#79
Georgetown logo
#85
Butler logo
#87
Xavier logo
#97
DePaul logo
#99
La Salle logo
#233

Neutral

1-2
Wisconsin logo
#21
BYU logo
#29
Georgetown logo
#85

Home

14-3
Connecticut logo
#9
St. John's logo
#13
Seton Hall logo
#53
Providence logo
#70
Creighton logo
#77
Marquette logo
#79
Georgetown logo
#85
Butler logo
#87
Xavier logo
#97
DePaul logo
#99
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Duquesne logo
#125
Temple logo
#147
Penn logo
#150
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Old Dominion logo
#234
Sacred Heart logo
#287

Schedule Chart

Villanova logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
BYU logo
#2945%38%66-71
Nov 8Home
Queens (NC) logo
#19196%94%94-74
Nov 11Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28799%98%94-60
Nov 15Home
Duquesne logo
#12591%88%87-77
Nov 19Away
La Salle logo
#23393%91%70-55
Nov 25Home
Old Dominion logo
#23497%97%89-75
Dec 1Home
Temple logo
#14793%91%74-56
Dec 6Home
Penn logo
#15093%91%90-63
Dec 9Away
Michigan logo
#29%7%61-89
Dec 13Home
Pittsburgh logo
#10087%83%79-61
Dec 19Neutral
Wisconsin logo
#2136%29%76-66
Dec 23Away
Seton Hall logo
#5349%42%64-56
Dec 31Home
DePaul logo
#9987%83%71-66
Jan 3Away
Butler logo
#8764%57%85-67
Jan 7Home
Creighton logo
#7780%75%72-76
Jan 10Away
Marquette logo
#7960%53%76-73
Jan 13Away
Providence logo
#7058%51%88-82
Jan 17Home
St. John's logo
#1341%34%79-86
Jan 21Home
Georgetown logo
#8582%78%66-51
Jan 24Away
Connecticut logo
#917%14%67-75
Jan 30Home
Providence logo
#7079%73%87-73
Feb 4Home
Seton Hall logo
#5372%66%72-60
Feb 7Away
Georgetown logo
#8564%57%80-73
Feb 10Home
Marquette logo
#7980%75%77-74
Feb 14Away
Creighton logo
#7760%53%80-69
Feb 17Away
Xavier logo
#9770%63%92-89
Feb 21Home
Connecticut logo
#936%30%63-73
Feb 25Home
Butler logo
#8783%78%82-73
Feb 28Away
St. John's logo
#1320%16%57-89
Mar 4Away
DePaul logo
#9971%65%76-57
Mar 7Home
Xavier logo
#9786%82%91-78
Mar 12Neutral
Georgetown logo
#8575%69%64-78

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MichiganConnecticutSt. John'sWisconsinConnecticutSt. John'sBYUSeton HallProvidenceCreightonMarquetteGeorgetownButlerXavierDePaulSeton HallGeorgetownProvidenceCreightonMarquetteGeorgetownButlerXavierDePaulPittsburghDuquesneTempleLa SallePennQueens (NC)Difficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games2-0, 0 left
Record:
24-8
#50 Fcst:
20.2-11.8
Act Win %:
75%
#50 Fcst %:
63%
TWV:
+3.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 30 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Villanova logo
05101520Sacred Heart Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Old Dominion Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 97%97%H2Queens (NC) Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 96%96%H3Penn Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 93%93%H4La Salle Location: Away 11/19 Win Probability: 93%93%A5Temple Location: Home 12/01 Win Probability: 93%93%H6Duquesne Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 91%91%H7Pittsburgh Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 87%87%H8DePaul Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 87%87%H9Xavier Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 86%86%H10Butler Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 83%83%H11Georgetown Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 82%82%H12Marquette Location: Home 02/10 Win Probability: 80%80%H13Providence Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 79%79%H14Seton Hall Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 72%72%H15DePaul Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 71%71%A16Xavier Location: Away 02/17 Win Probability: 70%70%A17Butler Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 64%64%A18Georgetown Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 64%64%A19Marquette Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 60%60%A20Creighton Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 60%60%A21Providence Location: Away 01/13 Win Probability: 58%58%A22Seton Hall Location: Away 12/23 Win Probability: 49%49%A23Wisconsin Location: Neutral 12/19 Win Probability: 36%36%N2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
7In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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