JThom Analytics Logo
William & Mary logo

William & Mary #161

Team Page

18-14
Overall
10-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

William & Mary logo

Away

6-9
St. John's logo
#13
George Washington logo
#81
UNCW logo
#114
Duquesne logo
#125
Bowling Green logo
#154
Richmond logo
#160
Monmouth logo
#172
Charleston logo
#174
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Norfolk State logo
#321

Neutral

3-1
Hofstra logo
#84
Elon logo
#258
Abilene Christian logo
#261
UTEP logo
#275

Home

9-2
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Towson logo
#159
Campbell logo
#193
Stony Brook logo
#230
Old Dominion logo
#234
Radford logo
#242
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Georgian Court logo
Non D1
Regent logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

William & Mary logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Georgian Court logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Norfolk State logo
#32181%97%81-78
Nov 11Away
Richmond logo
#16038%81%86-90
Nov 15Away
St. John's logo
#133%16%60-93
Nov 19Away
Bowling Green logo
#15437%80%82-74
Nov 21Home
Regent logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 24Neutral
UTEP logo
#27580%97%74-63
Nov 25Neutral
Abilene Christian logo
#26177%96%92-58
Nov 30Home
Old Dominion logo
#23480%97%88-75
Dec 2Away
Duquesne logo
#12528%74%83-79
Dec 6Away
George Washington logo
#8114%54%86-99
Dec 18Home
Radford logo
#24281%97%96-83
Dec 29Home
Towson logo
#15962%92%84-70
Dec 31Home
Stony Brook logo
#23079%96%76-57
Jan 5Away
Charleston logo
#17442%84%79-88
Jan 8Away
Monmouth logo
#17242%84%70-81
Jan 10Away
Drexel logo
#21253%89%58-64
Jan 15Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29989%98%97-89
Jan 22Home
UNCW logo
#11447%86%77-70
Jan 24Home
Hofstra logo
#8433%78%89-82
Jan 29Away
Elon logo
#25865%93%76-79
Jan 31Home
Campbell logo
#19370%94%96-104
Feb 5Away
UNCW logo
#11425%70%85-78
Feb 7Away
Hampton logo
#27871%94%74-77
Feb 12Away
Northeastern logo
#29174%95%94-67
Feb 14Home
Elon logo
#25883%97%78-81
Feb 19Away
Campbell logo
#19347%86%83-84
Feb 26Home
Northeastern logo
#29188%98%84-77
Feb 28Away
North Carolina A&T logo
#29976%96%91-88
Mar 3Home
Hampton logo
#27887%98%94-85
Mar 7Neutral
Elon logo
#25876%96%72-62
Mar 8Neutral
Hofstra logo
#8422%69%61-92

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%St. John'sGeorge WashingtonHofstraUNCWDuquesneHofstraBowling GreenRichmondMonmouthCharlestonCampbellUNCWDrexelTowsonElonCampbellHamptonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-1, 2 left
Record:
18-12
#50 Fcst:
25.8-4.2
Act Win %:
60%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-7.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

William & Mary logo
05101520Georgian Court Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Regent Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H20North Carolina A&T Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 89%89%H1Northeastern Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 88%88%H2Hampton Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 87%87%H3Radford Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 81%81%H4Norfolk State Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 81%81%A5Old Dominion Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 80%80%H6UTEP Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 80%80%N7Stony Brook Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 79%79%H8Abilene Christian Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 77%77%N9Elon Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 76%76%N10North Carolina A&T Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 76%76%A11Northeastern Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 74%74%A12Towson Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 62%62%H13UNCW Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 47%47%H14Bowling Green Location: Away 11/19 Win Probability: 37%37%A15Hofstra Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 33%33%H16Duquesne Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 28%28%A17UNCW Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 25%25%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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