JThom Analytics Logo
Oakland logo

Oakland #177

Team Page

15-17
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Horizon League logo

Team Schedule

Oakland logo

Away

8-9
Michigan logo
#2
Houston logo
#5
Purdue logo
#8
UCF logo
#54
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Montana logo
#185
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324

Neutral

1-1
Michigan State logo
#11
Lamar logo
#246

Home

6-6
Toledo logo
#132
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Defiance logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Oakland logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Michigan logo
#21%7%78-121
Nov 7Away
Purdue logo
#82%12%77-87
Nov 12Away
Houston logo
#51%9%45-78
Nov 15Home
Defiance logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 17Away
UCF logo
#548%43%83-87
Nov 21Away
Eastern Michigan logo
#25559%93%91-97
Nov 24Neutral
Lamar logo
#24669%96%83-68
Nov 25Away
Montana logo
#18540%85%95-87
Dec 3Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26081%97%101-92
Dec 6Home
Toledo logo
#13249%89%98-97
Dec 13Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6610%50%63-75
Dec 17Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18239%85%82-77
Dec 20Neutral
Michigan State logo
#113%21%70-79
Dec 29Away
Wright State logo
#13528%77%73-88
Jan 1Away
Youngstown State logo
#20846%88%85-83
Jan 4Home
Robert Morris logo
#14955%91%96-73
Jan 9Home
Cleveland State logo
#32491%99%97-74
Jan 11Home
Wright State logo
#13551%90%84-94
Jan 15Away
Milwaukee logo
#27064%94%73-60
Jan 18Away
Green Bay logo
#21047%88%88-63
Jan 21Home
IU Indy logo
#32391%99%85-103
Jan 24Away
Detroit logo
#21348%89%95-87
Jan 28Away
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26061%93%74-65
Feb 1Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18263%94%76-65
Feb 4Away
Cleveland State logo
#32478%97%78-91
Feb 12Home
Youngstown State logo
#20869%95%82-86
Feb 15Away
Robert Morris logo
#14932%80%69-93
Feb 20Home
Green Bay logo
#21070%95%68-73
Feb 22Home
Milwaukee logo
#27083%98%81-70
Feb 25Away
IU Indy logo
#32378%97%86-74
Feb 28Home
Detroit logo
#21371%95%89-95
Mar 4Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18263%94%84-85

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MichiganHoustonPurdueMichigan StateUCFNorthern IowaWright StateRobert MorrisNorthern KentuckyMontanaYoungstown StateGreen BayDetroitToledoWright StateRobert MorrisEastern MichiganPurdue Fort WayneNorthern KentuckyNorthern KentuckyMilwaukeeDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-5, 1 left
Record:
15-16
#50 Fcst:
24.4-6.6
Act Win %:
48%
#50 Fcst %:
79%
TWV:
-9.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Oakland logo
051015Defiance Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Cleveland State Location: Home 01/09 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Milwaukee Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 83%83%H2Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 81%81%H3IU Indy Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 78%78%A4Lamar Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 69%69%N5Milwaukee Location: Away 01/15 Win Probability: 64%64%A6Northern Kentucky Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 63%63%H7Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 61%61%A8Robert Morris Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 55%55%H9Toledo Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 49%49%H10Detroit Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 48%48%A11Green Bay Location: Away 01/18 Win Probability: 47%47%A12Youngstown State Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 46%46%A13Montana Location: Away 11/25 Win Probability: 40%40%A14Northern Kentucky Location: Away 12/17 Win Probability: 39%39%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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