Penn State logo

Penn State #140

Team Page

12-20
Overall
3-17
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Ten logo

Team Schedule

Penn State logo

Away

2-9
Michigan logo
#2
Purdue logo
#8
Nebraska logo
#18
Ohio State logo
#23
Indiana logo
#44
Washington logo
#51
Northwestern logo
#60
Oregon logo
#96
Maryland logo
#112
Rutgers logo
#118
New Haven logo
#330

Neutral

1-3
Northwestern logo
#60
Providence logo
#70
Pittsburgh logo
#100
La Salle logo
#233

Home

9-8
Michigan logo
#2
Illinois logo
#6
Michigan State logo
#11
Wisconsin logo
#21
Ohio State logo
#23
Iowa logo
#25
UCLA logo
#26
Minnesota logo
#72
USC logo
#86
Rutgers logo
#118
Navy logo
#141
Harvard logo
#148
Campbell logo
#193
Boston logo
#252
Fairfield logo
#257
Sacred Heart logo
#287
North Carolina Central logo
#348

Schedule Chart

Penn State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Fairfield logo
#25786%97%76-68
Nov 8Away
New Haven logo
#33086%97%87-43
Nov 11Home
Navy logo
#14162%91%80-71
Nov 15Neutral
La Salle logo
#23375%95%83-69
Nov 19Home
Harvard logo
#14865%91%84-80
Nov 22Neutral
Providence logo
#7022%63%65-77
Nov 25Home
Boston logo
#25285%97%96-87
Nov 29Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28790%98%90-59
Dec 2Home
Campbell logo
#19374%94%87-76
Dec 9Away
Indiana logo
#448%34%72-113
Dec 13Home
Michigan State logo
#117%31%72-76
Dec 21Neutral
Pittsburgh logo
#10034%76%46-80
Dec 29Home
North Carolina Central logo
#34896%99%90-67
Jan 3Home
Illinois logo
#65%24%65-73
Jan 6Home
Michigan logo
#23%16%72-74
Jan 10Away
Purdue logo
#82%12%85-93
Jan 14Home
UCLA logo
#2613%46%60-71
Jan 18Away
Maryland logo
#11228%70%73-96
Jan 22Home
Wisconsin logo
#2111%41%71-98
Jan 26Away
Ohio State logo
#235%23%78-84
Jan 29Away
Northwestern logo
#6013%47%73-94
Feb 1Home
Minnesota logo
#7233%74%77-75
Feb 5Away
Michigan logo
#21%7%69-110
Feb 8Home
USC logo
#8638%78%75-77
Feb 11Away
Washington logo
#5111%41%63-60
Feb 14Away
Oregon logo
#9623%63%72-83
Feb 18Home
Rutgers logo
#11853%87%72-85
Feb 21Away
Nebraska logo
#184%19%64-87
Feb 28Home
Iowa logo
#2513%46%71-69
Mar 4Home
Ohio State logo
#2312%44%62-94
Mar 8Away
Rutgers logo
#11830%71%62-74
Mar 10Neutral
Northwestern logo
#6019%59%66-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MichiganPurdueMichiganNebraskaOhio StateIllinoisMichigan StateIndianaWashingtonWisconsinOhio StateIowaUCLANorthwesternNorthwesternProvidenceOregonMarylandRutgersMinnesotaPittsburghUSCRutgersNavyHarvardCampbellDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 0 left
Record:
12-20
#50 Fcst:
19.3-12.7
Act Win %:
38%
#50 Fcst %:
60%
TWV:
-7.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Penn State logo
0510North Carolina Central Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Sacred Heart Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 90%90%H2New Haven Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 86%86%A3Fairfield Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 86%86%H4Boston Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 85%85%H5La Salle Location: Neutral 11/15 Win Probability: 75%75%N6Campbell Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 74%74%H7Harvard Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 65%65%H8Navy Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 62%62%H9Minnesota Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 33%33%H10Iowa Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 13%13%H11Washington Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 11%11%A1212WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
12100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...