JThom Analytics Logo
North Texas logo

North Texas #137

Team Page

16-17
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
American Athletic logo

Team Schedule

North Texas logo

Away

5-7
Saint Mary's logo
#24
Tulsa logo
#64
Wichita State logo
#82
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
Temple logo
#147
Oregon State logo
#170
Charlotte logo
#176
South Alabama logo
#195
Tulane logo
#201
Rice logo
#222
UTSA logo
#340

Neutral

2-2
Santa Clara logo
#34
Tulsa logo
#64
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Loyola Chicago logo
#276

Home

9-5
TCU logo
#45
South Florida logo
#49
Tulsa logo
#64
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Tulane logo
#201
Rice logo
#222
East Carolina logo
#256
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Prairie View A&M logo
#288
Northwestern State logo
#295
Houston Christian logo
#298
UTSA logo
#340
New Mexico Highlands logo
Non D1
University of Science and Arts of Oklahoma logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

North Texas logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
New Mexico Highlands logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Home
Northwestern State logo
#29591%98%80-53
Nov 9Neutral
Loyola Chicago logo
#27684%97%64-62
Nov 12Away
Oregon State logo
#17047%83%64-66
Nov 14Away
Saint Mary's logo
#245%23%49-80
Nov 20Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15667%92%74-56
Nov 25Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16470%93%79-71
Nov 30Home
Prairie View A&M logo
#28890%98%
Nov 30Home
Prairie View A&M logo
#28890%98%
Dec 2Home
Houston Christian logo
#29891%98%77-75
Dec 7Home
TCU logo
#4521%59%55-65
Dec 14Away
South Alabama logo
#19554%87%58-57
Dec 17Neutral
Santa Clara logo
#3410%40%60-63
Dec 22Home
University of Science and Arts of Oklahoma logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Away
Memphis logo
#13136%76%48-57
Jan 4Home
Tulsa logo
#6431%71%72-67
Jan 7Home
South Florida logo
#4923%62%70-74
Jan 11Away
Wichita State logo
#8218%54%67-78
Jan 18Away
Tulane logo
#20156%87%71-63
Jan 21Home
UTSA logo
#34096%99%81-62
Jan 23Home
East Carolina logo
#25686%97%59-63
Jan 28Away
Tulsa logo
#6414%48%66-82
Jan 31Home
UAB logo
#12859%89%68-72
Feb 4Away
Rice logo
#22262%90%83-86
Feb 7Away
UTSA logo
#34090%98%81-58
Feb 12Home
Memphis logo
#13160%89%76-69
Feb 15Away
Temple logo
#14742%80%65-62
Feb 19Home
Tulane logo
#20177%95%71-77
Feb 22Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12758%88%73-72
Feb 25Away
Charlotte logo
#17649%84%79-80
Mar 1Away
UAB logo
#12835%75%62-58
Mar 4Home
Rice logo
#22281%96%62-58
Mar 12Neutral
Florida Atlantic logo
#12745%83%74-70
Mar 13Neutral
Tulsa logo
#6421%61%84-90

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Saint Mary'sSanta ClaraTulsaWichita StateTCUTulsaSouth FloridaTulsaUABMemphisTempleOregon StateFlorida AtlanticCharlotteSouth AlabamaTulaneFlorida AtlanticUABMemphisRiceCentral ArkansasEastern WashingtonTulaneDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-1, 4 left
Record:
16-14
#50 Fcst:
23.9-6.1
Act Win %:
53%
#50 Fcst %:
80%
TWV:
-7.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Texas logo
05101520New Mexico Highlands Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H17University of Science and Arts of Oklahoma Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Prairie View A&M Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 90%90%H19Prairie View A&M Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 90%90%H20UTSA Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Houston Christian Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 91%91%H2Northwestern State Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 91%91%H3UTSA Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 90%90%A4Loyola Chicago Location: Neutral 11/09 Win Probability: 84%84%N5Rice Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 81%81%H6Eastern Washington Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 70%70%H7Central Arkansas Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 67%67%H8Memphis Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 60%60%H9Florida Atlantic Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 58%58%H10Tulane Location: Away 01/18 Win Probability: 56%56%A11South Alabama Location: Away 12/14 Win Probability: 54%54%A12Florida Atlantic Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 45%45%N13Temple Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 42%42%A14UAB Location: Away 03/01 Win Probability: 35%35%A15Tulsa Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 31%31%H1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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