JThom Analytics Logo
South Florida logo

South Florida #49

Team Page

24-9
Overall
15-3
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
11.0
Avg Seed
American Athletic logo

Team Schedule

South Florida logo

Away

9-3
Alabama logo
#17
Tulsa logo
#64
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Wichita State logo
#82
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
North Texas logo
#137
Temple logo
#147
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Tulane logo
#201
Rice logo
#222

Neutral

3-3
VCU logo
#46
George Washington logo
#81
Wichita State logo
#82
Colorado State logo
#91
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Charlotte logo
#176

Home

12-2
Utah State logo
#30
Tulsa logo
#64
Wichita State logo
#82
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
UAB logo
#128
Memphis logo
#131
Charleston logo
#174
Charlotte logo
#176
UMBC logo
#180
Tulane logo
#201
East Carolina logo
#256
Florida A&M logo
#307
UTSA logo
#340
Coppin State logo
#360
Georgia College & State logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

South Florida logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Florida A&M logo
#30798%98%102-67
Nov 8Neutral
George Washington logo
#8166%66%95-99
Nov 12Home
Coppin State logo
#360100%100%100-50
Nov 16Away
Kennesaw State logo
#15180%80%108-89
Nov 19Away
Oklahoma State logo
#7853%53%95-103
Nov 26Neutral
VCU logo
#4648%47%66-78
Nov 27Neutral
Western Kentucky logo
#16389%89%97-91
Nov 28Neutral
Colorado State logo
#9172%72%68-83
Dec 4Home
Utah State logo
#3051%51%74-61
Dec 10Home
Charleston logo
#17493%93%81-75
Dec 17Away
Alabama logo
#1719%19%93-104
Dec 21Home
UMBC logo
#18094%94%94-69
Dec 29Home
Georgia College & State logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 4Home
UAB logo
#12889%89%106-109
Jan 7Away
North Texas logo
#13777%77%74-70
Jan 10Away
Tulsa logo
#6448%48%93-78
Jan 14Home
East Carolina logo
#25697%97%82-71
Jan 18Home
Wichita State logo
#8276%76%85-86
Jan 22Away
UAB logo
#12875%75%82-69
Jan 25Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12788%88%89-75
Jan 28Away
Tulane logo
#20188%87%97-83
Jan 31Away
Temple logo
#14780%80%78-79
Feb 4Home
UTSA logo
#34099%99%109-88
Feb 8Home
Tulsa logo
#6471%71%80-74
Feb 11Away
Wichita State logo
#8254%54%66-58
Feb 15Away
Florida Atlantic logo
#12774%74%83-81
Feb 19Home
Memphis logo
#13189%89%87-66
Feb 25Away
Rice logo
#22290%90%75-56
Mar 1Home
Tulane logo
#20195%95%90-62
Mar 5Away
Memphis logo
#13176%76%96-89
Mar 8Home
Charlotte logo
#17693%93%83-60
Mar 14Neutral
Charlotte logo
#17690%90%86-64
Mar 15Neutral
Wichita State logo
#8266%66%70-55

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%AlabamaVCUTulsaUtah StateOklahoma StateWichita StateGeorge WashingtonWichita StateTulsaColorado StateFlorida AtlanticUABMemphisWichita StateNorth TexasTempleKennesaw StateTulaneFlorida AtlanticUABMemphisWestern KentuckyRiceCharlotteCharlestonCharlotteUMBCTulaneDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 1 left
Record:
24-8
#50 Fcst:
24.8-7.2
Act Win %:
75%
#50 Fcst %:
77%
TWV:
-0.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

South Florida logo
0510152025Georgia College & State Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Coppin State Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H1UTSA Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Florida A&M Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 98%98%H3East Carolina Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 97%97%H4Tulane Location: Home 03/01 Win Probability: 95%95%H5UMBC Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 94%94%H6Charlotte Location: Home 03/08 Win Probability: 93%93%H7Charleston Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 93%93%H8Charlotte Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 90%90%N9Rice Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 90%90%A10Western Kentucky Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 89%89%N11Memphis Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 89%89%H12Florida Atlantic Location: Home 01/25 Win Probability: 88%88%H13Tulane Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 88%88%A14Kennesaw State Location: Away 11/16 Win Probability: 80%80%A15North Texas Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 77%77%A16Memphis Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 76%76%A17UAB Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 75%75%A18Florida Atlantic Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 74%74%A19Tulsa Location: Home 02/08 Win Probability: 71%71%H20Wichita State Location: Neutral 03/15 Win Probability: 66%66%N21Wichita State Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 54%54%A22Utah State Location: Home 12/04 Win Probability: 51%51%H23Tulsa Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 48%48%A2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
11In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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