JThom Analytics Logo
North Dakota State logo

North Dakota State #115

Team Page

24-10
Overall
14-2
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
13.0
Avg Seed
Summit logo

Team Schedule

North Dakota State logo

Away

10-5
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Arkansas State logo
#146
Oregon State logo
#170
UC Davis logo
#173
Montana logo
#185
Drake logo
#207
South Dakota State logo
#215
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
UTEP logo
#275
North Dakota logo
#277
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Bakersfield logo
#332
Kansas City logo
#362

Neutral

4-1
UC Irvine logo
#105
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Omaha logo
#253
North Dakota logo
#277
Oral Roberts logo
#311

Home

10-1
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Southern Illinois logo
#123
CSUN logo
#178
South Dakota State logo
#215
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
North Dakota logo
#277
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Kansas City logo
#362
Jamestown logo
Non D1
Minnesota-Crookston logo
Non D1
St. Scholastica logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

North Dakota State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Oregon State logo
#17056%83%65-67
Nov 5Away
UC Davis logo
#17357%84%68-80
Nov 11Home
CSUN logo
#17879%94%90-68
Nov 12Home
St. Scholastica logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 17Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12366%88%92-85
Nov 19Home
Jamestown logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 26Neutral
Jacksonville State logo
#20476%93%56-43
Nov 28Away
Arkansas State logo
#14650%79%80-85
Dec 3Away
Montana logo
#18560%85%81-72
Dec 6Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32596%99%69-68
Dec 11Away
Bakersfield logo
#33291%97%80-69
Dec 13Away
Drake logo
#20766%88%99-94
Dec 15Home
Minnesota-Crookston logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 21Neutral
UC Irvine logo
#10547%78%73-74
Dec 22Away
UTEP logo
#27581%94%66-76
Dec 31Home
South Dakota logo
#28193%98%84-61
Jan 3Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31195%99%79-77
Jan 8Away
Kansas City logo
#36296%99%97-73
Jan 10Away
Omaha logo
#25377%93%78-76
Jan 14Home
South Dakota State logo
#21585%96%76-65
Jan 17Home
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10860%85%68-65
Jan 22Away
Denver logo
#24575%92%82-77
Jan 24Away
Oral Roberts logo
#31187%96%86-58
Jan 31Away
South Dakota logo
#28182%95%89-84
Feb 5Home
Denver logo
#24589%97%71-78
Feb 7Home
Omaha logo
#25390%97%92-84
Feb 14Away
North Dakota logo
#27782%94%83-66
Feb 18Away
South Dakota State logo
#21568%89%74-66
Feb 21Home
Kansas City logo
#36299%100%95-59
Feb 26Away
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10836%68%62-84
Feb 28Home
North Dakota logo
#27792%98%96-63
Mar 5Neutral
Oral Roberts logo
#31192%98%76-65
Mar 7Neutral
Omaha logo
#25385%96%74-50
Mar 8Neutral
North Dakota logo
#27789%97%70-62

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%St. Thomas (MN)UC IrvineArkansas StateOregon StateUC DavisSt. Thomas (MN)MontanaDrakeSouthern IllinoisSouth Dakota StateDenverOmahaJacksonville StateCSUNUTEPNorth DakotaSouth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-1, 3 left
Record:
24-7
#50 Fcst:
28.5-2.5
Act Win %:
77%
#50 Fcst %:
92%
TWV:
-4.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Dakota State logo
0510152025St. Scholastica Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Jamestown Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H26Minnesota-Crookston Location: Home 12/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H27Kansas City Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Kansas City Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 96%96%A2Northern Arizona Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 96%96%H3Oral Roberts Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H4South Dakota Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 93%93%H5Oral Roberts Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 92%92%N6North Dakota Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 92%92%H7Bakersfield Location: Away 12/11 Win Probability: 91%91%A8Omaha Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 90%90%H9North Dakota Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 89%89%N10Oral Roberts Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 87%87%A11Omaha Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 85%85%N12South Dakota State Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 85%85%H13South Dakota Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 82%82%A14North Dakota Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 82%82%A15CSUN Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 79%79%H16Omaha Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 77%77%A17Jacksonville State Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 76%76%N18Denver Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 75%75%A19South Dakota State Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 68%68%A20Southern Illinois Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 66%66%H21Drake Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 66%66%A22Montana Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 60%60%A23St. Thomas (MN) Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 60%60%H2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
13In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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