JThom Analytics Logo
UAB logo

UAB #128

Team Page

19-13
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
American Athletic logo

Team Schedule

UAB logo

Away

10-2
North Carolina State logo
#36
South Florida logo
#49
Tulsa logo
#64
Memphis logo
#131
North Texas logo
#137
Temple logo
#147
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
Charlotte logo
#176
Tulane logo
#201
Drake logo
#207
East Carolina logo
#256
UTSA logo
#340

Neutral

2-1
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Charlotte logo
#176
UTEP logo
#275

Home

7-9
South Florida logo
#49
Tulsa logo
#64
Wichita State logo
#82
High Point logo
#89
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Memphis logo
#131
Troy logo
#134
North Texas logo
#137
South Alabama logo
#195
Tulane logo
#201
Rice logo
#222
UNC Asheville logo
#238
East Carolina logo
#256
Alabama State logo
#317
Cleveland State logo
#324
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365
Rhodes College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

UAB logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36599%100%106-55
Nov 7Away
North Carolina State logo
#369%31%70-94
Nov 11Home
Alabama State logo
#31794%99%74-77
Nov 14Home
High Point logo
#8945%79%91-74
Nov 17Home
Rhodes College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 21Home
South Alabama logo
#19578%95%80-72
Nov 24Neutral
Southern Illinois logo
#12349%83%81-73
Nov 25Neutral
UTEP logo
#27586%97%75-59
Dec 1Away
Middle Tennessee logo
#16950%83%61-76
Dec 5Away
Drake logo
#20761%88%74-69
Dec 14Home
Troy logo
#13464%90%85-86
Dec 17Home
Cleveland State logo
#32495%99%101-77
Dec 21Home
UNC Asheville logo
#23886%97%72-47
Dec 31Home
Wichita State logo
#8240%76%70-75
Jan 4Away
South Florida logo
#4911%38%109-106
Jan 7Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12761%88%71-76
Jan 11Away
East Carolina logo
#25672%93%87-85
Jan 14Away
Tulane logo
#20159%87%82-69
Jan 18Home
Tulsa logo
#6434%71%77-99
Jan 22Home
South Florida logo
#4925%62%69-82
Jan 28Away
UTSA logo
#34091%98%83-73
Jan 31Away
North Texas logo
#13741%77%72-68
Feb 5Home
Memphis logo
#13163%89%80-90
Feb 8Home
Rice logo
#22283%96%71-65
Feb 11Away
Tulsa logo
#6416%48%68-63
Feb 15Home
Tulane logo
#20180%95%54-55
Feb 18Away
Temple logo
#14745%80%76-71
Feb 22Away
Memphis logo
#13139%76%78-67
Mar 1Home
North Texas logo
#13765%90%58-62
Mar 4Away
Charlotte logo
#17653%84%80-74
Mar 8Home
East Carolina logo
#25688%97%90-83
Mar 13Neutral
Charlotte logo
#17665%90%78-83

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North Carolina StateSouth FloridaTulsaSouth FloridaTulsaMemphisWichita StateNorth TexasHigh PointTempleSouthern IllinoisMiddle TennesseeCharlotteTulaneDrakeFlorida AtlanticMemphisTroyNorth TexasCharlotteEast CarolinaSouth AlabamaTulaneDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 1 left
Record:
19-12
#50 Fcst:
25.7-5.3
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-6.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UAB logo
05101520Rhodes College Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Cleveland State Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 95%95%H2UTSA Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 91%91%A3East Carolina Location: Home 03/08 Win Probability: 88%88%H4UNC Asheville Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 86%86%H5UTEP Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 86%86%N6Rice Location: Home 02/08 Win Probability: 83%83%H7South Alabama Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 78%78%H8East Carolina Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 72%72%A9Drake Location: Away 12/05 Win Probability: 61%61%A10Tulane Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 59%59%A11Charlotte Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 53%53%A12Southern Illinois Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 49%49%N13Temple Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 45%45%A14High Point Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 45%45%H15North Texas Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 41%41%A16Memphis Location: Away 02/22 Win Probability: 39%39%A17Tulsa Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 16%16%A18South Florida Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 11%11%A1919WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
19100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...