JThom Analytics Logo
Charlotte logo

Charlotte #176

Team Page

16-18
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
American Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Charlotte logo

Away

4-8
South Florida logo
#49
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Tulsa logo
#64
Wichita State logo
#82
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Memphis logo
#131
Temple logo
#147
Charleston logo
#174
Appalachian State logo
#184
Rice logo
#222
East Carolina logo
#256
UTSA logo
#340

Neutral

2-3
South Florida logo
#49
Illinois State logo
#101
UAB logo
#128
Richmond logo
#160
Tulane logo
#201

Home

10-6
Utah State logo
#30
Tulsa logo
#64
Wichita State logo
#82
UIC logo
#106
Davidson logo
#111
UAB logo
#128
North Texas logo
#137
Temple logo
#147
Tulane logo
#201
Indiana State logo
#206
Rice logo
#222
East Carolina logo
#256
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Lafayette logo
#322
UTSA logo
#340
Shaw logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Charlotte logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Indiana State logo
#20669%95%92-76
Nov 7Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31690%99%70-65
Nov 11Home
Davidson logo
#11141%86%55-62
Nov 16Away
Virginia Tech logo
#558%43%76-84
Nov 21Away
Appalachian State logo
#18440%85%63-65
Nov 23Home
Shaw logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 27Neutral
Illinois State logo
#10126%77%69-79
Nov 28Neutral
Richmond logo
#16045%88%66-71
Dec 2Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29987%98%74-57
Dec 7Home
Utah State logo
#3011%51%53-79
Dec 14Away
Charleston logo
#17437%84%67-74
Dec 18Home
Lafayette logo
#32291%99%81-67
Dec 21Home
UIC logo
#10639%85%88-76
Dec 30Home
Temple logo
#14755%91%73-76
Jan 3Home
Wichita State logo
#8227%76%104-100
Jan 7Away
UTSA logo
#34085%98%74-58
Jan 11Away
Rice logo
#22251%90%74-73
Jan 14Home
Tulsa logo
#6422%71%74-86
Jan 18Away
East Carolina logo
#25659%93%73-70
Jan 23Home
Tulane logo
#20168%95%73-70
Jan 28Away
Temple logo
#14731%80%80-76
Jan 30Home
Rice logo
#22273%96%80-70
Feb 4Away
Wichita State logo
#8212%54%64-74
Feb 8Away
Memphis logo
#13126%76%54-77
Feb 15Home
UTSA logo
#34094%99%79-88
Feb 18Away
Tulsa logo
#6410%48%74-79
Feb 21Home
East Carolina logo
#25679%97%68-56
Feb 25Home
North Texas logo
#13751%90%80-79
Mar 1Away
Florida Atlantic logo
#12725%74%76-77
Mar 4Home
UAB logo
#12847%89%74-80
Mar 8Away
South Florida logo
#497%38%60-83
Mar 12Neutral
Tulane logo
#20157%93%74-60
Mar 13Neutral
UAB logo
#12835%84%83-78
Mar 14Neutral
South Florida logo
#4910%50%64-86

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%South FloridaVirginia TechTulsaSouth FloridaUtah StateWichita StateTulsaFlorida AtlanticMemphisWichita StateIllinois StateTempleUABCharlestonUICAppalachian StateDavidsonRichmondUABNorth TexasRiceTempleEast CarolinaTulaneTulaneDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 1 left
Record:
16-17
#50 Fcst:
26.7-6.3
Act Win %:
48%
#50 Fcst %:
81%
TWV:
-10.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 25 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Charlotte logo
051015Shaw Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Lafayette Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Tennessee Tech Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 90%90%H2North Carolina A&T Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 87%87%H3UTSA Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 85%85%A4East Carolina Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 79%79%H5Rice Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 73%73%H6Indiana State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 69%69%H7Tulane Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 68%68%H8East Carolina Location: Away 01/18 Win Probability: 59%59%A9Tulane Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 57%57%N10Rice Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 51%51%A11North Texas Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 51%51%H12UIC Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 39%39%H13UAB Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 35%35%N14Temple Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 31%31%A15Wichita State Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 27%27%H1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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