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Appalachian State logo

Appalachian State #184

Team Page

17-15
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Sun Belt logo

Team Schedule

Appalachian State logo

Away

7-7
Ohio State logo
#23
Troy logo
#134
Mercer logo
#190
Marshall logo
#200
James Madison logo
#202
Southern Miss logo
#219
Georgia Southern logo
#228
Texas State logo
#231
Old Dominion logo
#234
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
East Carolina logo
#256
Central Michigan logo
#262
Dartmouth logo
#272
Georgia State logo
#315

Neutral

1-2
High Point logo
#89
Southern Miss logo
#219
UNC Asheville logo
#238

Home

9-4
Charlotte logo
#176
South Alabama logo
#195
Marshall logo
#200
James Madison logo
#202
Georgia Southern logo
#228
Old Dominion logo
#234
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Elon logo
#258
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
Georgia State logo
#315
North Carolina Central logo
#348
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356
Carolina logo
Non D1
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Appalachian State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Central Michigan logo
#26260%93%66-82
Nov 5Home
Carolina logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Home
North Carolina Central logo
#34894%99%76-54
Nov 11Away
Ohio State logo
#233%23%53-75
Nov 16Away
Dartmouth logo
#27262%94%85-77
Nov 21Home
Charlotte logo
#17660%93%65-63
Nov 24Home
Elon logo
#25879%97%53-88
Nov 26Away
Mercer logo
#19039%86%67-75
Nov 30Neutral
UNC Asheville logo
#23867%95%55-67
Dec 3Home
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 11Away
East Carolina logo
#25657%93%67-54
Dec 14Neutral
High Point logo
#8919%71%86-78
Dec 18Home
Coastal Carolina logo
#24176%97%67-49
Dec 20Home
Georgia State logo
#31588%99%63-70
Dec 31Away
Old Dominion logo
#23454%92%81-73
Jan 3Away
Marshall logo
#20042%87%81-88
Jan 8Away
Georgia State logo
#31574%96%52-50
Jan 10Away
Coastal Carolina logo
#24155%92%62-67
Jan 15Home
James Madison logo
#20267%95%80-65
Jan 17Home
Old Dominion logo
#23475%97%73-75
Jan 22Home
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30187%98%72-58
Jan 23Home
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35695%99%59-43
Jan 29Away
Southern Miss logo
#21947%89%70-63
Jan 31Away
Troy logo
#13426%76%66-44
Feb 4Home
South Alabama logo
#19565%95%65-57
Feb 7Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25578%97%65-60
Feb 11Away
Georgia Southern logo
#22852%91%81-65
Feb 14Away
James Madison logo
#20243%88%58-69
Feb 19Home
Marshall logo
#20066%95%93-94
Feb 21Home
Georgia Southern logo
#22874%96%89-74
Feb 27Away
Texas State logo
#23152%91%57-60
Mar 7Neutral
Southern Miss logo
#21960%94%73-86

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Ohio StateHigh PointTroyMercerMarshallJames MadisonSouthern MissGeorgia SouthernTexas StateOld DominionCoastal CarolinaEast CarolinaCentral MichiganCharlotteSouthern MissDartmouthSouth AlabamaMarshallDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-4, 2 left
Record:
17-13
#50 Fcst:
27.1-2.9
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-10.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 18 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Appalachian State logo
051015Carolina Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H18VU of Lynchburg Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Louisiana-Monroe Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 95%95%H1North Carolina Central Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 94%94%H2Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 87%87%H3Eastern Michigan Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 78%78%H4Coastal Carolina Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 76%76%H5Georgia State Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 74%74%A6Georgia Southern Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 74%74%H7James Madison Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 67%67%H8South Alabama Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 65%65%H9Dartmouth Location: Away 11/16 Win Probability: 62%62%A10Charlotte Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 60%60%H11East Carolina Location: Away 12/11 Win Probability: 57%57%A12Old Dominion Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 54%54%A13Georgia Southern Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 52%52%A14Southern Miss Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 47%47%A15Troy Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 26%26%A16High Point Location: Neutral 12/14 Win Probability: 19%19%N1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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