JThom Analytics Logo
Monmouth logo

Monmouth #172

Team Page

18-16
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

Monmouth logo

Away

6-9
Seton Hall logo
#53
Syracuse logo
#83
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Georgia Tech logo
#158
Towson logo
#159
Charleston logo
#174
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Stony Brook logo
#230
La Salle logo
#233
Fairfield logo
#257
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
Lafayette logo
#322

Neutral

3-2
Hofstra logo
#84
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Ball State logo
#279
Le Moyne logo
#300

Home

9-4
Hofstra logo
#84
Robert Morris logo
#149
Towson logo
#159
William & Mary logo
#161
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Stony Brook logo
#230
Princeton logo
#250
Elon logo
#258
Lehigh logo
#282
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Caldwell logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Monmouth logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Caldwell logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
La Salle logo
#23356%91%60-73
Nov 13Away
Seton Hall logo
#538%42%58-70
Nov 18Away
Syracuse logo
#8313%55%73-78
Nov 23Home
Robert Morris logo
#14956%91%71-70
Nov 28Neutral
Ball State logo
#27978%97%80-73
Nov 29Neutral
Le Moyne logo
#30083%98%79-83
Nov 30Away
Lafayette logo
#32279%97%88-74
Dec 3Home
Princeton logo
#25080%97%63-58
Dec 6Away
Georgia Tech logo
#15834%81%67-79
Dec 14Away
Fairfield logo
#25761%93%65-73
Dec 17Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21472%96%75-85
Dec 21Home
Lehigh logo
#28285%98%76-62
Dec 31Home
Campbell logo
#19367%94%65-68
Jan 3Away
Towson logo
#15934%81%62-48
Jan 8Home
William & Mary logo
#16158%92%81-70
Jan 10Away
Hofstra logo
#8414%57%64-67
Jan 15Home
Drexel logo
#21272%95%51-73
Jan 19Home
Northeastern logo
#29186%98%81-68
Jan 22Away
Hampton logo
#27867%94%63-65
Jan 24Away
Campbell logo
#19343%86%88-73
Jan 29Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29988%98%83-81
Jan 31Home
Hofstra logo
#8430%78%57-73
Feb 5Away
Stony Brook logo
#23055%91%76-75
Feb 12Away
Drexel logo
#21249%89%93-73
Feb 15Home
Towson logo
#15958%92%72-71
Feb 19Away
UNCW logo
#11422%70%69-79
Feb 21Away
Charleston logo
#17438%84%63-74
Feb 26Home
Stony Brook logo
#23077%96%82-69
Feb 28Home
Elon logo
#25881%97%73-57
Mar 3Away
Northeastern logo
#29171%95%89-83
Mar 8Neutral
Drexel logo
#21261%93%65-57
Mar 9Neutral
Campbell logo
#19355%92%74-64
Mar 10Neutral
Hofstra logo
#8420%69%69-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Seton HallSyracuseHofstraHofstraUNCWHofstraGeorgia TechTowsonCharlestonCampbellDrexelStony BrookLa SalleRobert MorrisCampbellTowsonWilliam & MaryFairfieldDrexelCampbellHamptonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-3, 1 left
Record:
18-15
#50 Fcst:
28.8-4.2
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-10.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Monmouth logo
051015Caldwell Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H19North Carolina A&T Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 88%88%H1Northeastern Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 86%86%H2Lehigh Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 85%85%H3Elon Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 81%81%H4Princeton Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 80%80%H5Lafayette Location: Away 11/30 Win Probability: 79%79%A6Ball State Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 78%78%N7Stony Brook Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 77%77%H8Northeastern Location: Away 03/03 Win Probability: 71%71%A9Drexel Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 61%61%N10William & Mary Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 58%58%H11Towson Location: Home 02/15 Win Probability: 58%58%H12Robert Morris Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 56%56%H13Campbell Location: Neutral 03/09 Win Probability: 55%55%N14Stony Brook Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 55%55%A15Drexel Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 49%49%A16Campbell Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 43%43%A17Towson Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 34%34%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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