JThom Analytics Logo
Charleston logo

Charleston #174

Team Page

20-12
Overall
14-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

Charleston logo

Away

8-4
South Florida logo
#49
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Liberty logo
#119
Towson logo
#159
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Campbell logo
#193
Stony Brook logo
#230
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299

Neutral

2-3
Yale logo
#76
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Towson logo
#159
Massachusetts logo
#188
Evansville logo
#313

Home

10-4
Belmont logo
#69
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
William & Mary logo
#161
Monmouth logo
#172
Charlotte logo
#176
Campbell logo
#193
Drake logo
#207
Drexel logo
#212
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Citadel logo
#344
South Carolina State logo
#353
Tusculum logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Charleston logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Tusculum logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
Liberty logo
#11923%72%75-90
Nov 8Neutral
Florida Atlantic logo
#12735%83%77-94
Nov 14Home
South Carolina State logo
#35395%99%88-61
Nov 17Home
Drake logo
#20770%95%62-71
Nov 21Neutral
Massachusetts logo
#18854%91%69-65
Nov 23Neutral
Yale logo
#7617%65%63-74
Nov 24Neutral
Evansville logo
#31384%98%78-59
Nov 30Home
Belmont logo
#6924%73%73-96
Dec 10Away
South Florida logo
#497%38%75-81
Dec 14Home
Charlotte logo
#17663%93%74-67
Dec 17Home
Citadel logo
#34494%99%82-78
Dec 21Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18240%85%85-74
Dec 29Home
Drexel logo
#21271%95%72-63
Dec 31Away
Elon logo
#25861%93%85-81
Jan 5Home
William & Mary logo
#16158%92%88-79
Jan 10Home
Hampton logo
#27884%98%74-70
Jan 15Away
Towson logo
#15934%81%52-61
Jan 17Away
Stony Brook logo
#23055%91%106-112
Jan 22Home
Campbell logo
#19366%94%87-83
Jan 24Home
Elon logo
#25881%97%80-70
Jan 29Away
Hofstra logo
#8413%57%66-64
Jan 31Away
Northeastern logo
#29170%95%89-84
Feb 5Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29987%98%78-62
Feb 9Home
UNCW logo
#11442%86%64-76
Feb 12Home
Hofstra logo
#8429%78%62-66
Feb 15Away
Campbell logo
#19342%86%62-57
Feb 19Away
North Carolina A&T logo
#29972%96%74-61
Feb 21Home
Monmouth logo
#17262%93%74-63
Feb 26Away
Hampton logo
#27867%94%85-71
Mar 1Away
UNCW logo
#11422%70%79-76
Mar 8Neutral
Towson logo
#15945%88%56-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%South FloridaHofstraYaleUNCWLibertyBelmontHofstraTowsonFlorida AtlanticNorthern KentuckyCampbellUNCWTowsonStony BrookMassachusettsWilliam & MaryElonMonmouthCharlotteCampbellHamptonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-1, 1 left
Record:
20-11
#50 Fcst:
26.8-4.2
Act Win %:
65%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-6.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Charleston logo
05101520Tusculum Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H21South Carolina State Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 95%95%H1Citadel Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 94%94%H2North Carolina A&T Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 87%87%H3Hampton Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 84%84%H4Evansville Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 84%84%N5Elon Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 81%81%H6North Carolina A&T Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 72%72%A7Drexel Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 71%71%H8Northeastern Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 70%70%A9Hampton Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 67%67%A10Campbell Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 66%66%H11Charlotte Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 63%63%H12Monmouth Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 62%62%H13Elon Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 61%61%A14William & Mary Location: Home 01/05 Win Probability: 58%58%H15Massachusetts Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 54%54%N16Campbell Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 42%42%A17Northern Kentucky Location: Away 12/21 Win Probability: 40%40%A18UNCW Location: Away 03/01 Win Probability: 22%22%A19Hofstra Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 13%13%A2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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