JThom Analytics Logo
Siena logo

Siena #183

Team Page

23-11
Overall
13-7
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
14.0
Avg Seed
Metro Atlantic Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Siena logo

Away

9-7
Indiana logo
#44
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Merrimack College logo
#171
Marist logo
#198
Vermont logo
#236
Saint Peter's logo
#237
American logo
#243
Iona logo
#248
Fairfield logo
#257
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Brown logo
#286
Manhattan logo
#329
Holy Cross logo
#331
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342
Rider logo
#357

Neutral

5-0
Merrimack College logo
#171
Fairfield logo
#257
Longwood logo
#259
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Maine logo
#347

Home

9-4
Merrimack College logo
#171
Marist logo
#198
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Colgate logo
#240
Iona logo
#248
Fairfield logo
#257
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Albany logo
#319
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342
Bryant logo
#355
Rider logo
#357

Schedule Chart

Siena logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Bryant logo
#35595%99%82-66
Nov 7Away
Brown logo
#28667%95%62-46
Nov 12Away
St. Bonaventure logo
#14229%78%66-75
Nov 17Home
Colgate logo
#24077%97%69-72
Nov 21Home
Albany logo
#31989%99%73-63
Nov 24Away
Holy Cross logo
#33180%97%73-69
Nov 28Neutral
Longwood logo
#25972%96%70-63
Nov 29Away
American logo
#24356%92%59-55
Nov 30Neutral
Maine logo
#34792%99%64-60
Dec 5Home
Niagara logo
#33593%99%83-54
Dec 7Home
Canisius logo
#34294%99%74-52
Dec 17Away
Vermont logo
#23655%92%69-83
Dec 22Away
Indiana logo
#445%34%60-81
Jan 2Away
Iona logo
#24857%92%72-75
Jan 4Away
Rider logo
#35790%99%74-65
Jan 9Home
Merrimack College logo
#17159%93%59-63
Jan 11Away
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26963%94%67-50
Jan 14Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28785%98%80-86
Jan 17Away
Manhattan logo
#32980%97%74-59
Jan 19Home
Fairfield logo
#25779%97%85-77
Jan 22Home
Marist logo
#19867%95%69-50
Jan 30Away
Niagara logo
#33582%98%82-79
Feb 1Away
Canisius logo
#34284%98%78-63
Feb 5Home
Iona logo
#24878%97%79-72
Feb 7Away
Saint Peter's logo
#23755%92%65-70
Feb 13Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21470%96%62-74
Feb 15Away
Marist logo
#19843%87%67-63
Feb 20Away
Merrimack College logo
#17135%83%72-79
Feb 22Home
Saint Peter's logo
#23776%97%72-63
Feb 27Away
Fairfield logo
#25759%93%58-72
Mar 1Home
Rider logo
#35796%100%76-61
Mar 7Neutral
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26974%97%63-58
Mar 8Neutral
Fairfield logo
#25771%96%76-61
Mar 10Neutral
Merrimack College logo
#17147%90%64-54

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%IndianaSt. BonaventureMerrimack CollegeMaristMerrimack CollegeVermontSaint Peter'sAmericanIonaFairfieldMerrimack CollegeMount St. Mary'sMaristBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games17-3, 0 left
Record:
23-11
#50 Fcst:
31.6-2.4
Act Win %:
68%
#50 Fcst %:
93%
TWV:
-8.6
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Siena logo
05101520Rider Location: Home 03/01 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Bryant Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H2Canisius Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Niagara Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 93%93%H4Maine Location: Neutral 11/30 Win Probability: 92%92%N5Rider Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 90%90%A6Albany Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 89%89%H7Canisius Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 84%84%A8Niagara Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 82%82%A9Holy Cross Location: Away 11/24 Win Probability: 80%80%A10Manhattan Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 80%80%A11Fairfield Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 79%79%H12Iona Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 78%78%H13Saint Peter's Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 76%76%H14Mount St. Mary's Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 74%74%N15Longwood Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 72%72%N16Fairfield Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 71%71%N17Brown Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 67%67%A18Marist Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 67%67%H19Mount St. Mary's Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 63%63%A20American Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 56%56%A21Merrimack College Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 47%47%N22Marist Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 43%43%A2323WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
14In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
23100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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