JThom Analytics Logo
North Carolina A&T logo

North Carolina A&T #299

Team Page

9-21
Overall
4-14
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

North Carolina A&T logo

Away

4-11
South Carolina logo
#98
Davidson logo
#111
UNCW logo
#114
William & Mary logo
#161
Monmouth logo
#172
Charleston logo
#174
Charlotte logo
#176
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Stony Brook logo
#230
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
UNCG logo
#292
North Carolina Central logo
#348
Morgan State logo
#351

Neutral

1-2
Howard logo
#196
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291

Home

4-6
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Towson logo
#159
William & Mary logo
#161
Charleston logo
#174
Campbell logo
#193
Elon logo
#258
Northeastern logo
#291
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
South Carolina State logo
#353
Mid-Atlantic Christian logo
Non D1
Washington Adventist logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

North Carolina A&T logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Away
South Carolina logo
#985%64%72-91
Nov 10Home
South Carolina State logo
#35383%99%85-62
Nov 13Home
Washington Adventist logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Away
Morgan State logo
#35163%98%79-73
Nov 28Away
Davidson logo
#1116%69%74-90
Dec 2Away
Charlotte logo
#17613%84%57-74
Dec 6Away
North Carolina Central logo
#34861%98%69-54
Dec 9Neutral
Howard logo
#19622%92%69-73
Dec 12Home
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35282%99%82-79
Dec 16Away
UNCG logo
#29236%95%71-65
Dec 20Home
Mid-Atlantic Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Home
UNCW logo
#11415%86%78-87
Dec 31Home
Northeastern logo
#29159%98%74-85
Jan 3Away
Stony Brook logo
#23022%91%80-81
Jan 8Home
Elon logo
#25849%97%64-69
Jan 15Away
William & Mary logo
#16111%81%89-97
Jan 19Away
Hampton logo
#27832%94%61-82
Jan 22Home
Hofstra logo
#849%78%79-78
Jan 24Home
Towson logo
#15924%92%80-73
Jan 29Away
Monmouth logo
#17212%84%81-83
Jan 31Away
Drexel logo
#21218%89%60-61
Feb 5Away
Charleston logo
#17413%84%62-78
Feb 7Home
Campbell logo
#19331%94%71-79
Feb 13Neutral
Hampton logo
#27843%97%71-70
Feb 19Home
Charleston logo
#17428%93%61-74
Feb 21Away
Elon logo
#25827%93%102-82
Feb 26Away
UNCW logo
#1146%70%65-88
Feb 28Home
William & Mary logo
#16124%92%88-91
Mar 3Away
Campbell logo
#19315%86%72-90
Mar 6Neutral
Northeastern logo
#29147%97%72-88

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%South CarolinaDavidsonUNCWHofstraWilliam & MaryMonmouthCharlestonCharlotteCampbellUNCWDrexelStony BrookTowsonWilliam & MaryHowardElonCharlestonCampbellHamptonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-3, 2 left
Record:
9-19
#50 Fcst:
25.0-3.0
Act Win %:
32%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-16.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Carolina A&T logo
0510Washington Adventist Location: Home 11/13 Win Probability: 100%100%H10Mid-Atlantic Christian Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H11South Carolina State Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 83%83%H1Maryland Eastern Shore Location: Home 12/12 Win Probability: 82%82%H2Morgan State Location: Away 11/18 Win Probability: 63%63%A3North Carolina Central Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 61%61%A4Hampton Location: Neutral 02/13 Win Probability: 43%43%N5UNCG Location: Away 12/16 Win Probability: 36%36%A6Elon Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 27%27%A7Towson Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 24%24%H8Hofstra Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 9%9%H99WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
9100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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