JThom Analytics Logo
Penn logo

Penn #150

Team Page

17-12
Overall
9-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
13.0
Avg Seed
Ivy League logo

Team Schedule

Penn logo

Away

4-9
Villanova logo
#40
Providence logo
#70
Yale logo
#76
George Mason logo
#102
Rutgers logo
#118
Harvard logo
#148
Cornell logo
#157
Columbia logo
#197
Drexel logo
#212
American logo
#243
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286

Neutral

2-0
Yale logo
#76
Harvard logo
#148

Home

11-2
Yale logo
#76
Hofstra logo
#84
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
Harvard logo
#148
Cornell logo
#157
Merrimack College logo
#171
Columbia logo
#197
La Salle logo
#233
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286
Lafayette logo
#322
NJIT logo
#328
Rowan logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Penn logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 7Home
Rowan logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Away
American logo
#24364%92%78-84
Nov 11Away
Providence logo
#7014%51%81-106
Nov 17Home
Saint Joseph's logo
#10746%85%83-74
Nov 21Away
Drexel logo
#21254%89%84-68
Nov 28Home
Merrimack College logo
#17167%93%77-65
Nov 29Home
La Salle logo
#23381%97%73-71
Nov 30Home
Hofstra logo
#8434%78%60-77
Dec 6Away
Villanova logo
#407%32%63-90
Dec 8Home
Lafayette logo
#32293%99%74-72
Dec 20Away
Rutgers logo
#11828%71%69-70
Dec 28Away
George Mason logo
#10223%66%79-83
Dec 31Home
NJIT logo
#32894%99%80-61
Jan 5Away
Princeton logo
#25065%92%76-78
Jan 10Home
Brown logo
#28688%98%81-73
Jan 17Away
Dartmouth logo
#27270%94%84-74
Jan 19Away
Harvard logo
#14838%80%63-64
Jan 24Home
Yale logo
#7631%75%60-77
Jan 30Away
Columbia logo
#19751%87%67-72
Jan 31Away
Cornell logo
#15739%81%91-81
Feb 7Home
Princeton logo
#25083%97%61-60
Feb 13Home
Columbia logo
#19773%95%76-67
Feb 14Home
Cornell logo
#15763%92%82-76
Feb 21Away
Yale logo
#7615%53%70-74
Feb 27Home
Dartmouth logo
#27286%98%80-71
Feb 28Home
Harvard logo
#14862%91%64-61
Mar 6Away
Brown logo
#28674%95%82-61
Mar 14Neutral
Harvard logo
#14850%88%62-60
Mar 15Neutral
Yale logo
#7621%65%88-84

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%VillanovaProvidenceYaleYaleGeorge MasonRutgersYaleHofstraHarvardCornellSaint Joseph'sColumbiaHarvardDrexelHarvardCornellAmericanPrincetonMerrimack CollegeDartmouthColumbiaBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 1 left
Record:
17-11
#50 Fcst:
23.3-4.7
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-6.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 22 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Penn logo
051015Rowan Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H18NJIT Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 94%94%H1Lafayette Location: Home 12/08 Win Probability: 93%93%H2Brown Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 88%88%H3Dartmouth Location: Home 02/27 Win Probability: 86%86%H4Princeton Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 83%83%H5La Salle Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 81%81%H6Brown Location: Away 03/06 Win Probability: 74%74%A7Columbia Location: Home 02/13 Win Probability: 73%73%H8Dartmouth Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 70%70%A9Merrimack College Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 67%67%H10Cornell Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 63%63%H11Harvard Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 62%62%H12Drexel Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 54%54%A13Harvard Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 50%50%N14Saint Joseph's Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 46%46%H15Cornell Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 39%39%A16Yale Location: Neutral 03/15 Win Probability: 21%21%N1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
13In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...