JThom Analytics Logo
Stony Brook logo

Stony Brook #230

Team Page

15-17
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

Stony Brook logo

Away

4-9
Yale logo
#76
Hofstra logo
#84
Duquesne logo
#125
Towson logo
#159
William & Mary logo
#161
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
Monmouth logo
#172
Campbell logo
#193
Marist logo
#198
Drexel logo
#212
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291

Neutral

1-2
Pacific logo
#113
Campbell logo
#193
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229

Home

10-4
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Towson logo
#159
Monmouth logo
#172
Charleston logo
#174
Columbia logo
#197
Drexel logo
#212
Central Michigan logo
#262
Hampton logo
#278
Brown logo
#286
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Albany logo
#319
Maine logo
#347
Farmingdale State logo
Non D1
St. Joseph's (NY-Long Island) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Stony Brook logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Farmingdale State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Home
Maine logo
#34790%99%71-60
Nov 11Home
St. Joseph's (NY-Long Island) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
Yale logo
#766%53%79-86
Nov 20Home
Brown logo
#28675%98%80-70
Nov 24Neutral
Pacific logo
#11318%80%58-86
Nov 25Neutral
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22950%95%61-54
Nov 28Away
Loyola Marymount logo
#16221%81%71-68
Dec 6Away
Duquesne logo
#12514%74%75-84
Dec 9Home
Columbia logo
#19752%95%77-73
Dec 13Home
Central Michigan logo
#26269%97%78-55
Dec 17Home
Albany logo
#31982%99%55-71
Dec 21Away
Marist logo
#19829%87%51-70
Dec 29Away
Hampton logo
#27851%94%59-62
Dec 31Away
William & Mary logo
#16121%81%57-76
Jan 3Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29978%98%81-80
Jan 8Away
Drexel logo
#21232%89%37-56
Jan 10Home
UNCW logo
#11427%86%71-75
Jan 15Home
Hofstra logo
#8417%78%76-71
Jan 17Home
Charleston logo
#17445%93%112-106
Jan 22Away
Northeastern logo
#29154%95%95-80
Jan 29Away
Campbell logo
#19327%86%81-69
Jan 31Away
Elon logo
#25844%93%72-68
Feb 5Home
Monmouth logo
#17245%93%75-76
Feb 7Home
Northeastern logo
#29176%98%69-55
Feb 12Away
Towson logo
#15921%81%57-69
Feb 16Home
Drexel logo
#21256%95%72-69
Feb 21Home
Hampton logo
#27873%98%79-72
Feb 26Away
Monmouth logo
#17223%84%69-82
Feb 28Away
Hofstra logo
#847%57%58-67
Mar 3Home
Towson logo
#15941%92%57-69
Mar 7Neutral
Campbell logo
#19337%92%89-96

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%YaleHofstraDuquesneHofstraPacificTowsonWilliam & MaryLoyola MarymountMonmouthCampbellUNCWMaristDrexelCampbellTowsonElonMonmouthCharlestonHamptonColumbiaBethune-CookmanDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-1, 2 left
Record:
15-15
#50 Fcst:
26.4-3.6
Act Win %:
50%
#50 Fcst %:
88%
TWV:
-11.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Stony Brook logo
051015Farmingdale State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H16St. Joseph's (NY-Long Island) Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Maine Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 90%90%H1North Carolina A&T Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 78%78%H2Northeastern Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 76%76%H3Brown Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 75%75%H4Hampton Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 73%73%H5Central Michigan Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 69%69%H6Drexel Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 56%56%H7Northeastern Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 54%54%A8Columbia Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 52%52%H9Bethune-Cookman Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 50%50%N10Charleston Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 45%45%H11Elon Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 44%44%A12Campbell Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 27%27%A13Loyola Marymount Location: Away 11/28 Win Probability: 21%21%A14Hofstra Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 17%17%H1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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