JThom Analytics Logo
Elon logo

Elon #258

Team Page

12-20
Overall
6-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

Elon logo

Away

6-9
Miami logo
#28
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Hofstra logo
#84
UNCW logo
#114
Towson logo
#159
William & Mary logo
#161
Monmouth logo
#172
Charleston logo
#174
Appalachian State logo
#184
Marshall logo
#200
Wofford logo
#254
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
UNCG logo
#292
North Carolina A&T logo
#299

Neutral

0-1
William & Mary logo
#161

Home

6-8
UNCW logo
#114
Towson logo
#159
Richmond logo
#160
William & Mary logo
#161
Charleston logo
#174
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Campbell logo
#193
Drexel logo
#212
Stony Brook logo
#230
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Belmont Abbey logo
Non D1
Greensboro logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Elon logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 5Home
Belmont Abbey logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
UNCG logo
#29248%95%92-90
Nov 12Away
Marshall logo
#20024%87%89-96
Nov 15Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36393%100%95-84
Nov 20Away
Miami logo
#282%27%72-99
Nov 24Away
Appalachian State logo
#18421%85%88-53
Nov 29Home
Mercer logo
#19043%94%84-91
Dec 3Home
Furman logo
#17940%94%88-97
Dec 6Away
Wofford logo
#25437%93%73-52
Dec 13Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34386%99%85-79
Dec 17Home
Richmond logo
#16035%92%73-70
Dec 20Away
Virginia Tech logo
#553%43%81-82
Dec 22Home
Greensboro logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Home
Northeastern logo
#29171%98%103-91
Dec 31Home
Charleston logo
#17439%93%81-85
Jan 8Away
North Carolina A&T logo
#29951%96%69-64
Jan 10Home
Campbell logo
#19344%94%83-82
Jan 15Away
Northeastern logo
#29148%95%78-85
Jan 17Away
Hofstra logo
#846%57%89-85
Jan 22Home
Towson logo
#15935%92%59-72
Jan 24Away
Charleston logo
#17419%84%70-80
Jan 29Home
William & Mary logo
#16135%92%79-76
Jan 31Home
Stony Brook logo
#23056%96%68-72
Feb 5Away
Hampton logo
#27845%94%79-87
Feb 7Home
Drexel logo
#21249%95%77-82
Feb 12Away
UNCW logo
#11410%70%54-65
Feb 14Away
William & Mary logo
#16117%81%81-78
Feb 21Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29973%98%82-102
Feb 26Away
Towson logo
#15917%81%56-58
Feb 28Away
Monmouth logo
#17219%84%57-73
Mar 3Home
UNCW logo
#11423%86%57-76
Mar 7Neutral
William & Mary logo
#16124%88%62-72

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MiamiVirginia TechHofstraUNCWTowsonWilliam & MaryMonmouthCharlestonAppalachian StateUNCWMarshallWilliam & MaryTowsonRichmondWilliam & MaryWoffordCharlestonFurmanMercerCampbellHamptonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-4, 2 left
Record:
12-18
#50 Fcst:
25.9-4.1
Act Win %:
40%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-13.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Elon logo
0510Belmont Abbey Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Greensboro Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Gardner-Webb Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 93%93%H1Northern Illinois Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 86%86%H2Northeastern Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 71%71%H3North Carolina A&T Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 51%51%A4UNCG Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 48%48%A5Campbell Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 44%44%H6Wofford Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 37%37%A7William & Mary Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 35%35%H8Richmond Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 35%35%H9Appalachian State Location: Away 11/24 Win Probability: 21%21%A10William & Mary Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 17%17%A11Hofstra Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 6%6%A1212WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
12100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...