JThom Analytics Logo
UNCW logo

UNCW #114

Team Page

24-8
Overall
15-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Coastal Athletic Association logo

Team Schedule

UNCW logo

Away

11-2
Kent State logo
#152
Towson logo
#159
William & Mary logo
#161
Valparaiso logo
#165
Charleston logo
#174
Campbell logo
#193
Stony Brook logo
#230
Radford logo
#242
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Northeastern logo
#291
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301

Neutral

0-1
Campbell logo
#193

Home

13-3
Hofstra logo
#84
Navy logo
#141
William & Mary logo
#161
Monmouth logo
#172
Charleston logo
#174
Campbell logo
#193
Howard logo
#196
Marshall logo
#200
Drexel logo
#212
East Carolina logo
#256
Elon logo
#258
Hampton logo
#278
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
USC Upstate logo
#305
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Columbia College (SC) logo
Non D1
Mount Olive logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

UNCW logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Mount Olive logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 10Away
Kent State logo
#15252%80%77-86
Nov 15Home
USC Upstate logo
#30594%98%73-60
Nov 18Home
East Carolina logo
#25690%97%85-60
Nov 21Away
Radford logo
#24275%92%81-73
Nov 26Home
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29393%98%70-57
Nov 28Home
Navy logo
#14172%91%87-57
Nov 29Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36399%100%88-62
Dec 3Home
Marshall logo
#20083%95%70-69
Dec 6Away
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30186%96%70-63
Dec 13Away
Valparaiso logo
#16556%83%73-70
Dec 20Home
Howard logo
#19682%95%66-67
Dec 27Home
Columbia College (SC) logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Away
North Carolina A&T logo
#29985%96%87-78
Dec 31Home
Drexel logo
#21285%95%65-53
Jan 3Home
Hampton logo
#27892%98%49-45
Jan 8Away
Northeastern logo
#29184%95%87-78
Jan 10Away
Stony Brook logo
#23073%91%75-71
Jan 17Home
Campbell logo
#19381%94%78-75
Jan 22Away
William & Mary logo
#16153%81%70-77
Jan 24Away
Hampton logo
#27882%94%75-67
Jan 29Away
Towson logo
#15953%81%82-73
Feb 5Home
William & Mary logo
#16175%92%78-85
Feb 9Away
Charleston logo
#17458%84%76-64
Feb 12Home
Elon logo
#25890%97%65-54
Feb 14Home
Hofstra logo
#8448%78%70-66
Feb 19Home
Monmouth logo
#17278%93%79-69
Feb 21Away
Campbell logo
#19362%86%73-68
Feb 26Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29994%98%88-65
Mar 1Home
Charleston logo
#17478%93%76-79
Mar 3Away
Elon logo
#25877%93%76-57
Mar 8Neutral
Campbell logo
#19373%92%70-85

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%HofstraKent StateTowsonWilliam & MaryValparaisoCharlestonCampbellNavyStony BrookCampbellRadfordWilliam & MaryElonMonmouthCharlestonCampbellHamptonHowardMarshallDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-0, 2 left
Record:
24-6
#50 Fcst:
27.6-2.4
Act Win %:
80%
#50 Fcst %:
92%
TWV:
-3.6
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UNCW logo
0510152025Mount Olive Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Columbia College (SC) Location: Home 12/27 Win Probability: 100%100%H26Gardner-Webb Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 99%99%H1USC Upstate Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 94%94%H2North Carolina A&T Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Southeastern Louisiana Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 93%93%H4Hampton Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 92%92%H5Elon Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 90%90%H6East Carolina Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 90%90%H7Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 86%86%A8North Carolina A&T Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 85%85%A9Drexel Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 85%85%H10Northeastern Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 84%84%A11Marshall Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 83%83%H12Hampton Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 82%82%A13Campbell Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 81%81%H14Monmouth Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 78%78%H15Elon Location: Away 03/03 Win Probability: 77%77%A16Radford Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 75%75%A17Stony Brook Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 73%73%A18Navy Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 72%72%H19Campbell Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 62%62%A20Charleston Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 58%58%A21Valparaiso Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 56%56%A22Towson Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 53%53%A23Hofstra Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 48%48%H2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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