JThom Analytics Logo
Kentucky logo

Kentucky #27

Team Page

21-13
Overall
10-8
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
7.0
Avg Seed
Southeastern logo

Team Schedule

Kentucky logo

Away

4-6
Florida logo
#4
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Alabama logo
#17
Louisville logo
#19
Auburn logo
#39
Texas A&M logo
#41
LSU logo
#68
South Carolina logo
#98

Neutral

3-3
Florida logo
#4
Gonzaga logo
#10
Michigan State logo
#11
St. John's logo
#13
Missouri logo
#50
LSU logo
#68

Home

14-4
Florida logo
#4
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Tennessee logo
#15
Georgia logo
#31
North Carolina logo
#35
Oklahoma logo
#37
Texas logo
#42
Indiana logo
#44
Missouri logo
#50
Ole Miss logo
#61
Mississippi State logo
#94
Valparaiso logo
#165
Nicholls logo
#247
Bellarmine logo
#284
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
North Carolina Central logo
#348

Schedule Chart

Kentucky logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Nicholls logo
#24798%97%77-51
Nov 7Home
Valparaiso logo
#16596%93%107-59
Nov 11Away
Louisville logo
#1930%19%88-96
Nov 14Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#32699%99%99-53
Nov 18Neutral
Michigan State logo
#1133%21%66-83
Nov 21Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32099%99%88-46
Nov 26Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31699%99%104-54
Dec 2Home
North Carolina logo
#3568%54%64-67
Dec 5Neutral
Gonzaga logo
#1033%21%59-94
Dec 9Home
North Carolina Central logo
#348100%99%103-67
Dec 13Home
Indiana logo
#4471%58%72-60
Dec 20Neutral
St. John's logo
#1336%23%78-66
Dec 23Home
Bellarmine logo
#28499%98%99-85
Jan 3Away
Alabama logo
#1729%19%74-89
Jan 7Home
Missouri logo
#5075%62%68-73
Jan 10Home
Mississippi State logo
#9489%82%92-68
Jan 14Away
LSU logo
#6865%50%75-74
Jan 17Away
Tennessee logo
#1528%18%80-78
Jan 21Home
Texas logo
#4269%56%85-80
Jan 24Home
Ole Miss logo
#6181%70%72-63
Jan 27Away
Vanderbilt logo
#1225%15%55-80
Jan 31Away
Arkansas logo
#1629%18%85-77
Feb 4Home
Oklahoma logo
#3769%55%94-78
Feb 7Home
Tennessee logo
#1551%37%74-71
Feb 14Away
Florida logo
#415%9%83-92
Feb 17Home
Georgia logo
#3166%51%78-86
Feb 21Away
Auburn logo
#3945%31%74-75
Feb 24Away
South Carolina logo
#9876%64%72-63
Feb 28Home
Vanderbilt logo
#1247%33%91-77
Mar 3Away
Texas A&M logo
#4146%32%85-96
Mar 7Home
Florida logo
#433%21%77-84
Mar 11Neutral
LSU logo
#6876%63%87-82
Mar 12Neutral
Missouri logo
#5065%50%78-72
Mar 13Neutral
Florida logo
#422%13%63-71

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaFloridaVanderbiltTennesseeArkansasAlabamaLouisvilleGonzagaMichigan StateFloridaSt. John'sAuburnTexas A&MVanderbiltTennesseeMissouriLSUGeorgiaNorth CarolinaOklahomaTexasIndianaMissouriLSUSouth CarolinaOle MissMississippi StateValparaisoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 0 left
Record:
21-13
#50 Fcst:
17.3-16.7
Act Win %:
62%
#50 Fcst %:
51%
TWV:
+3.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 28 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Kentucky logo
05101520North Carolina Central Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Eastern Illinois Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Loyola Maryland Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Tennessee Tech Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Bellarmine Location: Home 12/23 Win Probability: 99%99%H5Nicholls Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 98%98%H6Valparaiso Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 96%96%H7Mississippi State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 89%89%H8Ole Miss Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 81%81%H9South Carolina Location: Away 02/24 Win Probability: 76%76%A10LSU Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 76%76%N11Indiana Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 71%71%H12Texas Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 69%69%H13Oklahoma Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 69%69%H14Missouri Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 65%65%N15LSU Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 65%65%A16Tennessee Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 51%51%H17Vanderbilt Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 47%47%H18St. John's Location: Neutral 12/20 Win Probability: 36%36%N19Arkansas Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 29%29%A20Tennessee Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 28%28%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
7In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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