JThom Analytics Logo
Alabama logo

Alabama #17

Team Page

22-10
Overall
13-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
5.0
Avg Seed
Southeastern logo

Team Schedule

Alabama logo

Away

7-3
Florida logo
#4
Vanderbilt logo
#12
St. John's logo
#13
Tennessee logo
#15
Georgia logo
#31
Oklahoma logo
#37
Auburn logo
#39
Ole Miss logo
#61
LSU logo
#68
Mississippi State logo
#94

Neutral

2-3
Arizona logo
#3
Illinois logo
#6
Gonzaga logo
#10
Ole Miss logo
#61
UNLV logo
#110
Maryland logo
#112
Kennesaw State logo
#151

Home

12-3
Purdue logo
#8
Tennessee logo
#15
Arkansas logo
#16
Kentucky logo
#27
Clemson logo
#32
Auburn logo
#39
Texas A&M logo
#41
Texas logo
#42
South Florida logo
#49
Missouri logo
#50
Yale logo
#76
Mississippi State logo
#94
South Carolina logo
#98
North Dakota logo
#277
UTSA logo
#340

Schedule Chart

Alabama logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
North Dakota logo
#27799%98%91-62
Nov 8Away
St. John's logo
#1334%16%103-96
Nov 13Home
Purdue logo
#849%27%80-87
Nov 19Neutral
Illinois logo
#634%15%90-86
Nov 24Neutral
Gonzaga logo
#1042%21%85-95
Nov 25Neutral
UNLV logo
#11091%79%
Nov 26Neutral
Maryland logo
#11292%80%
Dec 3Home
Clemson logo
#3274%52%90-84
Dec 7Home
UTSA logo
#340100%99%97-55
Dec 13Neutral
Arizona logo
#326%11%75-96
Dec 17Home
South Florida logo
#4981%62%104-93
Dec 21Neutral
Kennesaw State logo
#15195%88%92-81
Dec 29Home
Yale logo
#7689%75%102-78
Jan 3Home
Kentucky logo
#2771%47%89-74
Jan 7Away
Vanderbilt logo
#1233%15%90-96
Jan 10Home
Texas logo
#4277%56%88-92
Jan 13Away
Mississippi State logo
#9482%63%97-82
Jan 17Away
Oklahoma logo
#3755%31%83-81
Jan 24Home
Tennessee logo
#1561%37%73-79
Jan 27Home
Missouri logo
#5081%62%90-64
Feb 1Away
Florida logo
#421%9%77-100
Feb 4Home
Texas A&M logo
#4177%55%100-97
Feb 7Away
Auburn logo
#3955%31%96-92
Feb 11Away
Ole Miss logo
#6170%47%93-74
Feb 14Home
South Carolina logo
#9893%83%89-75
Feb 18Home
Arkansas logo
#1661%37%117-115
Feb 21Away
LSU logo
#6873%50%90-83
Feb 25Home
Mississippi State logo
#9492%82%100-75
Feb 28Away
Tennessee logo
#1537%18%71-69
Mar 3Away
Georgia logo
#3151%28%88-98
Mar 7Home
Auburn logo
#3977%55%96-84
Mar 13Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#6180%60%79-80

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaArizonaIllinoisVanderbiltSt. John'sTennesseeGonzagaPurdueGeorgiaOklahomaAuburnTennesseeArkansasOle MissKentuckyLSUClemsonAuburnTexas A&MTexasOle MissSouth FloridaMissouriMississippi StateYaleUNLVMarylandMississippi StateSouth CarolinaKennesaw StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games2-0, 0 left
Record:
21-9
#50 Fcst:
14.3-15.7
Act Win %:
70%
#50 Fcst %:
48%
TWV:
+6.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 30 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Alabama logo
05101520Maryland Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 92%92%N22UNLV Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 91%91%N23UTSA Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H1North Dakota Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Kennesaw State Location: Neutral 12/21 Win Probability: 95%95%N3South Carolina Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 93%93%H4Mississippi State Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 92%92%H5Yale Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 89%89%H6Mississippi State Location: Away 01/13 Win Probability: 82%82%A7Missouri Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 81%81%H8South Florida Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 81%81%H9Texas A&M Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 77%77%H10Auburn Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 77%77%H11Clemson Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 74%74%H12LSU Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 73%73%A13Kentucky Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 71%71%H14Ole Miss Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 70%70%A15Arkansas Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 61%61%H16Auburn Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 55%55%A17Oklahoma Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 55%55%A18Tennessee Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 37%37%A19St. John's Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 34%34%A20Illinois Location: Neutral 11/19 Win Probability: 34%34%N2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
5In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...